Robot Predictions & Odds· 105 markets

W
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by December 31?

14%

Yes

$8k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
I
Ibaraki Robots vs. SAN-EN NeoPhoenix

Sports · Games

Ibaraki Robots vs. SAN-EN NeoPhoenix

50%

Ibaraki Robots

$0 Vol.
$10 Liq.
Ends in 14 days
I
Ibaraki Robots vs. SAN-EN NeoPhoenix

Sports · Games

Ibaraki Robots vs. SAN-EN NeoPhoenix

50%

Ibaraki Robots

$0 Vol.
$76 Liq.
Ends in 12 days
W
Will Tesla release Optimus by...?

Will Tesla release Optimus by...?

4%

Yes

$124k Vol.
$6k Liq.
15
Ends in 3 months
M
MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

14%

Yes

$2.6m Vol.
$335 Liq.
135
Ends in 3 months
W
Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?

43%

December 31, 2026

$406k Vol.
$10k Liq.
41
Ends in 3 months
O
OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

82%

October 31

$10k Vol.
$2k Liq.
1
Ends in about 1 month
W
Will a dLLM be the top AI model before 2027?

Will a dLLM be the top AI model before 2027?

11%

Yes

$3k Vol.
$594 Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months
A
Anthropic reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

Anthropic reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

47%

October 31

$4k Vol.
$1k Liq.
1
Ends in about 1 month
W
Which company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of November?

81%

OpenAI

$4k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
S
Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of November?

52%

Anthropic

$5k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
A
AI artwork hits $10M at major auction in 2026?

12%

Yes

$445 Vol.
$668 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
H
Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

40%

December 31, 2027

$564k Vol.
$6k Liq.
38
Ends in over 1 year
T
Third-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of November?

50%

Other

$3k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
W
Will a Chinese company have a top ___ AI model by December 31?

25%

#3

$242k Vol.
$20k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
W
Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

71%

Anthropic

$1.3m Vol.
$986k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
What price will Pump.fun hit in 2026?

What price will Pump.fun hit in 2026?

67%

↓ 0.0030

$193k Vol.
$30k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
W
What price will Lighter hit in 2026?

What price will Lighter hit in 2026?

75%

↑ $6

$843k Vol.
$41k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
O
OpenAI + Anthropic vs Google - higher valuation on December 31?

21%

OpenAI + Anthropic

$8k Vol.
$4k Liq.
2
Ends in 4 months
W
Which AI labs commit to third party vetting by October 31?

29%

Google

$58k Vol.
$49k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month