Resignations Predictions & Odds· 113 markets

W
Who will be the first to leave the Burnham Cabinet?

Who will be the first to leave the Burnham Cabinet?

50%

Other

$106k Vol.
$167k Liq.
1
Ends in over 1 year
Q
Quebec General Election: PVQ Wins a Seat?

Quebec General Election: PVQ Wins a Seat?

3%

Yes

$843 Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 15 days
W
Will Lauren Boebert resign by...?

Will Lauren Boebert resign by...?

6%

October 31

$10k Vol.
$33k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
Q
Quebec General Election: PQ Wins a Majority?

22%

Yes

$7k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in 15 days
N
Nigerian House of Representatives Election Winner

75%

APC

$6k Vol.
$37k Liq.
Ends in about 1 year
N
Nigerian Senate Election Winner

Nigerian Senate Election Winner

73%

APC

$6k Vol.
$38k Liq.
Ends in about 1 year
J
JOLTS Job Openings: August 2026

JOLTS Job Openings: August 2026

14%

7.2M to 7.3M

$8k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
Q
Quebec General Election: PLQ # Seats?

Quebec General Election: PLQ # Seats?

37%

28-31

$25k Vol.
$38k Liq.
Ends in 15 days
Q
Quebec General Election: CAQ # Seats?

Quebec General Election: CAQ # Seats?

36%

30+

$21k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 15 days
Q
Quebec General Election: PQ # Seats?

Quebec General Election: PQ # Seats?

41%

<50

$17k Vol.
$47k Liq.
Ends in 15 days
Q
Quebec General Election: PCQ # Seats?

Quebec General Election: PCQ # Seats?

23%

8-10

$8k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in 15 days
Q
Quebec General Election: QS Wins a Seat?

Quebec General Election: QS Wins a Seat?

98%

Yes

$673 Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 4 months
W
Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027?

30%

Dan Scavino

$1.4m Vol.
$67k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Trump resign before 2027?

Will Trump resign before 2027?

3%

Yes

$23k Vol.
$16k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
N
Netanyahu out by...?

Netanyahu out by...?

51%

Yes

$124.4m Vol.
$74k Liq.
29
Ends in 3 months
W
Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?

62%

None before 2027

$69k Vol.
$230k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?

Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?

3%

Yes

$539k Vol.
$53k Liq.
29
Ends in 3 months
W
Who will Xi Jinping purge in 2026?

Who will Xi Jinping purge in 2026?

11%

Dong Jun

$219k Vol.
$123k Liq.
19
Ends in 3 months
F
Fetterman leaves the Democrats by...?

Fetterman leaves the Democrats by...?

10%

December 31, 2026

$17k Vol.
$24k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
H
Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by October 31?

10%

Yes

$131 Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month