Resignations Predictions & Odds· 109 markets

W
Who will be the first to leave the Burnham Cabinet?

Who will be the first to leave the Burnham Cabinet?

50%

Other

$105k Vol.
$219k Liq.
1
Ends in over 1 year
W
Will Lauren Boebert resign by...?

Will Lauren Boebert resign by...?

18%

October 31

$3k Vol.
$20k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
J
JOLTS Job Openings: August 2026

JOLTS Job Openings: August 2026

26%

7.3M to 7.4M

$7k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 9 days
W
Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027?

31%

Kristi Noem

$1.4m Vol.
$58k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
N
Netanyahu out by...?

Netanyahu out by...?

53%

Yes

$124.4m Vol.
$78k Liq.
29
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Trump resign before 2027?

Will Trump resign before 2027?

3%

Yes

$23k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?

Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?

3%

Yes

$539k Vol.
$54k Liq.
29
Ends in 3 months
W
Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?

61%

None before 2027

$69k Vol.
$242k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
Q
Quebec General Election: PVQ Wins a Seat?

Quebec General Election: PVQ Wins a Seat?

3%

Yes

$843 Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 16 days
W
Who will Xi Jinping purge in 2026?

Who will Xi Jinping purge in 2026?

9%

Dong Jun

$219k Vol.
$103k Liq.
19
Ends in 3 months
F
Fetterman leaves the Democrats by...?

Fetterman leaves the Democrats by...?

10%

December 31, 2026

$17k Vol.
$25k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
H
Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by October 31?

12%

Yes

$0 Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
N
Next leader out of power before 2027?

Next leader out of power before 2027?

34%

None before 2027

$357k Vol.
$635k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
H
Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?

22%

Yes

$19k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
T
Trump out as President by September 30?

Trump out as President by September 30?

1%

Yes

$1.1m Vol.
$126k Liq.
🔥$97k today
Ends in 11 days
W
Which CEOs will be out before 2027?

Which CEOs will be out before 2027?

7%

Sundar Pichai - Google

$715k Vol.
$8k Liq.
20
Ends in 3 months
Q
Quebec General Election: PQ Wins a Majority?

22%

Yes

$7k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in 16 days
E
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?

Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?

6%

Yes

$638k Vol.
$25k Liq.
5
Ends in 3 months
C
Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by...?

4%

Yes

$287k Vol.
$14k Liq.
71
Ends in 3 months
T
Trump out as President before 2027?

Trump out as President before 2027?

6%

Yes

$11.7m Vol.
$310k Liq.
Ends in 3 months