Referendum Predictions & Odds· 110 markets

I
Iceland EU referendum passes?

Iceland EU referendum passes?

0%

Yes

$278k Vol.
$33k Liq.
30
Ends in 3 months
U
Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?

3%

Yes

$69k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Macron call a referendum by December 31?

5%

Yes

$108 Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
C
California voter ID referendum passes?

California voter ID referendum passes?

33%

Yes

$9k Vol.
$177 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
T
Turkish Constitutional Referendum announced in 2026?

11%

Yes

$7k Vol.
$665 Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
U
Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by...?

5%

December 31

$529k Vol.
$23k Liq.
7
Ends in 3 months
S
Switzerland’s September Referendum: What will pass?

3%

Food initiative

$49k Vol.
$40k Liq.
Ends in 6 days
S
Switzerland’s November Referendum: What will pass?

72%

VAT federal decree

$9k Vol.
$16k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
M
Missouri passes ballot measure to redistrict?

37%

Yes

$95 Vol.
$176 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
C
California Recall Election Reform Proposition

45%

Yes

$373 Vol.
$843 Liq.
Ends in 6 months
W
Will Turkey Move on a New Constitution in 2026?

10%

Yes

$7k Vol.
$11k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
I
Idaho passes ballot measure legalizing abortion?

56%

Yes

$9k Vol.
$807 Liq.
Ends in 6 months
W
Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026?

4%

Yes

$49k Vol.
$16k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
A
Alaska passes ballot measure repealing ranked choice voting?

36%

Yes

$576 Vol.
$448 Liq.
Ends in 6 months
C
California Higher Local Tax Vote Threshold Proposition

45%

Yes

$3k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 6 months
W
Will the Missouri abortion & sex change for minors ban pass?

24%

Yes

$2k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
M
Maryland passes redistricting requirements ballot measure?

72%

Yes

$0 Vol.
$45 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
Will the Nevada abortion protection amendment pass?

99%

Yes

$958 Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
W
Will the Virginia abortion protection amendment pass?

90%

Yes

$2k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year