Referenda Predictions & Odds· 108 markets

U
Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by...?

5%

December 31

$529k Vol.
$31k Liq.
7
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Macron call a referendum by December 31?

6%

Yes

$109 Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
C
California voter ID referendum passes?

California voter ID referendum passes?

31%

Yes

$9k Vol.
$109 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
T
Turkish Constitutional Referendum announced in 2026?

11%

Yes

$7k Vol.
$663 Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
U
Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?

3%

Yes

$69k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
S
Switzerland’s September Referendum: What will pass?

2%

Food initiative

$56k Vol.
$46k Liq.
Ends in 4 days
S
Switzerland’s November Referendum: What will pass?

63%

VAT federal decree

$9k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
C
California Higher Local Tax Vote Threshold Proposition

43%

Yes

$3k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 6 months
C
California Recall Election Reform Proposition

46%

Yes

$373 Vol.
$833 Liq.
Ends in 6 months
W
Will Turkey Move on a New Constitution in 2026?

10%

Yes

$7k Vol.
$11k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
R
Russia Elections: A Just Russia (SR) Clears Duma Threshold?

99%

Yes

$71k Vol.
$25k Liq.
8
Ended
W
Will the GOP use 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by...?

7%

Yes

$561k Vol.
$9k Liq.
29
Ends in 3 months
S
Spain snap election called in 2026?

Spain snap election called in 2026?

15%

Yes

$39k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
M
Massachusetts passes jungle primary ballot measure?

43%

Yes

$1k Vol.
$298 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
I
Israel Election: Reservists–New Economic Party vote share?

49%

<2.75%

$597 Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
A
Alaska passes ballot measure repealing ranked choice voting?

32%

Yes

$576 Vol.
$355 Liq.
Ends in 6 months
B
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Flávio Bolsonaro Vote Share?

85%

39%+

$71k Vol.
$168k Liq.
Ends in 12 days
A
Amazonas Senate Election: 2nd Place

Amazonas Senate Election: 2nd Place

72%

Capitão Alberto Neto

$27k Vol.
$79k Liq.
Ends in 12 days
B
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Renan Santos Vote Share?

35%

2-4%

$90k Vol.
$74k Liq.
Ends in 12 days