Redistrict Predictions & Odds· 568 markets

W
Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?

Yes

$2.2m Vol.
$0 Liq.
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W
Will Florida enact a redistricting law by March 31?

No

$4k Vol.
$0 Liq.
1
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C
California redistricting referendum passes?

Yes

$562k Vol.
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W
Will Texas enact a redistricting law by August 22?

No

$29k Vol.
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32
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C
California Prop 50 winning margin?

28–29%

$536k Vol.
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R
Reform share of votes in UK election?

11-15%

$42k Vol.
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2
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#
# of Republican House seats after Election? (brackets)

220-224

$1.6m Vol.
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#
# of Conservative seats after UK Election? (125-200)

<125

$283k Vol.
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P
Philippines, Cavite 4th Congressional District Special Election Winner

Jennifer Austria Barzaga

$10k Vol.
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U
UK Election: Labour % of the vote?

UK Election · Global Elections

UK Election: Labour % of the vote?

30-35%

$113k Vol.
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N
Norway Election: Red vs. Blue Bloc Margin of Victory

Red by 4–7

$550k Vol.
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8
A
Any fleeing Texas House Democrats arrested by Friday?

No

$34k Vol.
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2
2026 United Kingdom Local Elections: Reform wins ___ seats?

1600+

$122k Vol.
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F
FL-25 Democratic Primary Margin of Victory

Moskowitz 25%+

$56k Vol.
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W
WA-03 Primary First Place

John Braun

$75k Vol.
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N
New Trump executive order to restrict voting by March 31?

Yes

$9k Vol.
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