Recession Predictions & Odds· 104 markets

U
US recession by end of 2026?

US recession by end of 2026?

9%

Yes

$2.1m Vol.
$46k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
US recession by end of 2027?

US recession by end of 2027?

35%

Yes

$10k Vol.
$20k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
U
UK Recession in 2026?

UK Recession in 2026?

4%

Yes

$13k Vol.
$4k Liq.
3
Ends in 7 months
J
Japan recession in 2026?

Japan recession in 2026?

4%

Yes

$4k Vol.
$151 Liq.
1
Ends in 7 months
W
What price will Pump.fun hit in 2026?

What price will Pump.fun hit in 2026?

63%

↓ 0.0030

$193k Vol.
$42k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
N
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

83%

Yes

$796k Vol.
$39k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
S
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on September 23?

99%

$760

$2k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in about 15 hours
M
MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

14%

Yes

$2.6m Vol.
$308 Liq.
135
Ends in 3 months
W
What price will Ethena hit in September?

57%

↑ 0.24

$7k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
N
Negative GDP growth in 2026?

Negative GDP growth in 2026?

2%

Yes

$33k Vol.
$386 Liq.
5
Ends in 4 months
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

19%

Iran Reconstruction Funding

$982k Vol.
$290k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
T
Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?

91%

Up

$26k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
P
PPI YoY - September 2026

PPI YoY - September 2026

34%

5.9%+

$12k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 23 days
H
Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

40%

June 30, 2027

$575k Vol.
$10k Liq.
38
Ends in over 1 year
W
What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit in September 2026?

70%

↓ $770

$151k Vol.
$85k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
W
What price will Hyperliquid hit in September?

78%

↑ 100

$17k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
A
Amazon 2026 capex above ___?

Amazon 2026 capex above ___?

99%

$170 billion

$24k Vol.
$5k Liq.
1
Ends in 7 months
W
What price will BNB hit in September?

50%

↑ 800

$9k Vol.
$44k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
W
What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit by end of December?

51%

↓ $7,400

$375k Vol.
$160k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
G
GDP growth in 2026

GDP growth in 2026

64%

2.0–2.5%

$74k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 4 months