Rates Predictions & Odds· 432 markets

E
ECB Interest Rates: October 2026

ECB Interest Rates: October 2026

56%

No change

$164k Vol.
$27k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
E
ECB Interest Rates: December 2026

ECB Interest Rates: December 2026

60%

25 bps increase

$15k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
F
Fed Decision in October?

Fed Decision in October?

56%

25 bps increase

$7.8m Vol.
$2.4m Liq.
🔥$108k today
Ends in about 1 month
F
Fed Decision in December?

Fed Decision in December?

68%

25 bps increase

$1.1m Vol.
$666k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
F
Fed Decision in January?

Fed Decision in January?

57%

No change

$94k Vol.
$303k Liq.
Ends in 4 months
R
Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in September

94%

25 bps increase

$87k Vol.
$20k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
B
Bank of Japan Decision in October?

Bank of Japan Decision in October?

82%

No change

$127k Vol.
$58k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
R
Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in December?

71%

25 bps increase

$9k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
B
Bank of Japan Decision in December?

Bank of Japan Decision in December?

53%

25 bps increase

$910 Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
P
People's Bank of China rate change by September 30?

99%

No Change

$55k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 11 days
B
Bank of England decision in November?

Bank of England decision in November?

71%

25 bps increase

$100k Vol.
$31k Liq.
Ends in about 2 months
R
Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in October?

Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in October?

54%

No change

$52k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
B
Bank of Mexico Decision in September?

Bank of Mexico Decision in September?

97%

No change

$59k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in 5 days
B
Bank of Mexico Decision in November?

Bank of Mexico Decision in November?

91%

No change

$19k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in about 2 months
R
Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in November

Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in November

69%

No change

$48k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
P
Predicted Fed rate under each Fed Chair

Parlays · Hide From New

Predicted Fed rate under each Fed Chair

96%

Kevin Warsh & Rate > 2.5%

$161k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
F
Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)

Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)

37%

Hike–Pause–Hike

$90k Vol.
$140k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

77%

↑ 4.25%

$1.8m Vol.
$308k Liq.
13
Ends in 3 months
H
How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?

Fed · Rate

How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?

62%

2 (50 bps)

$537k Vol.
$153k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will the 30-year Mortgage Rate hit __ in 2026?

88%

↑ 7.00%

$90k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 3 months