Rates Predictions & Odds· 432 markets

E
ECB Interest Rates: October 2026

ECB Interest Rates: October 2026

57%

No change

$164k Vol.
$25k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
E
ECB Interest Rates: December 2026

ECB Interest Rates: December 2026

60%

25 bps increase

$15k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
F
Fed Decision in October?

Fed Decision in October?

55%

25 bps increase

$8.2m Vol.
$2.4m Liq.
🔥$399k today
Ends in about 1 month
F
Fed Decision in December?

Fed Decision in December?

68%

25 bps increase

$1.1m Vol.
$734k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
B
Bank of Japan Decision in October?

Bank of Japan Decision in October?

84%

No change

$128k Vol.
$65k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
B
Bank of Japan Decision in December?

Bank of Japan Decision in December?

76%

25 bps increase

$2k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
R
Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in November

Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in November

73%

No change

$49k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
F
Fed Decision in January?

Fed Decision in January?

57%

No change

$94k Vol.
$329k Liq.
Ends in 4 months
R
Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in September

95%

25 bps increase

$88k Vol.
$21k Liq.
Ends in 9 days
B
Bank of Mexico Decision in September?

Bank of Mexico Decision in September?

98%

No change

$59k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in 4 days
P
People's Bank of China rate change by September 30?

99%

No Change

$55k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
R
Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in October?

Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in October?

51%

No change

$52k Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
B
Bank of England decision in November?

Bank of England decision in November?

71%

25 bps increase

$100k Vol.
$40k Liq.
Ends in about 2 months
R
Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in December?

69%

25 bps increase

$9k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
B
Bank of Mexico Decision in November?

Bank of Mexico Decision in November?

91%

No change

$19k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in about 2 months
P
Predicted Fed rate under each Fed Chair

Parlays · Hide From New

Predicted Fed rate under each Fed Chair

96%

Kevin Warsh & Rate > 2.5%

$161k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
F
Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)

Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)

35%

Hike–Hike–Hike

$94k Vol.
$114k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

76%

↑ 4.25%

$1.8m Vol.
$246k Liq.
13
Ends in 3 months
H
How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?

Fed · Rate

How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?

60%

2 (50 bps)

$564k Vol.
$150k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will the 30-year Mortgage Rate hit __ in 2026?

88%

↑ 7.00%

$90k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 3 months