Rates Predictions & Odds· 432 markets

E
ECB Interest Rates: October 2026

ECB Interest Rates: October 2026

70%

No change

$180k Vol.
$26k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
E
ECB Interest Rates: December 2026

ECB Interest Rates: December 2026

61%

25 bps increase

$15k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
F
Fed Decision in October?

Fed Decision in October?

53%

25 bps increase

$10.1m Vol.
$2.2m Liq.
🔥$1.1m today
Ends in about 1 month
F
Fed Decision in December?

Fed Decision in December?

68%

25 bps increase

$1.2m Vol.
$740k Liq.
🔥$89k today
Ends in 3 months
F
Fed Decision in January?

Fed Decision in January?

56%

No change

$110k Vol.
$513k Liq.
Ends in 4 months
B
Bank of England decision in November?

Bank of England decision in November?

65%

25 bps increase

$114k Vol.
$85k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
R
Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in October?

Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in October?

64%

25 bps increase

$64k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
R
Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in September

96%

25 bps increase

$97k Vol.
$23k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
B
Bank of Mexico Decision in September?

Bank of Mexico Decision in September?

99%

No change

$66k Vol.
$25k Liq.
Ends in 2 days
B
Bank of Japan Decision in October?

Bank of Japan Decision in October?

84%

No change

$135k Vol.
$79k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
B
Bank of Mexico Decision in November?

Bank of Mexico Decision in November?

92%

No change

$21k Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
R
Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in November

Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in November

73%

No change

$51k Vol.
$16k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
B
Bank of Japan Decision in December?

Bank of Japan Decision in December?

65%

25 bps increase

$6k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
R
Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in December?

59%

25 bps increase

$12k Vol.
$16k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
P
People's Bank of China rate change by September 30?

99%

No Change

$55k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
P
Predicted Fed rate under each Fed Chair

Parlays · Hide From New

Predicted Fed rate under each Fed Chair

96%

Kevin Warsh & Rate > 2.5%

$161k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
F
Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)

Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)

38%

Hike–Pause–Hike

$103k Vol.
$190k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

82%

↑ 4.25%

$1.8m Vol.
$362k Liq.
13
Ends in 3 months
H
How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?

Fed · Rate

How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?

62%

2 (50 bps)

$603k Vol.
$240k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will the 30-year Mortgage Rate hit __ in 2026?

88%

↑ 7.00%

$91k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 4 months