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Quarterly Reporting Predictions & Odds· 102 markets

S

Economy·Business

SEC removes quarterly reporting requirement?

52%

Yes

$52k Vol.

$83 Liq.

Ends in 3 months

J

Japan recession in 2026?

4%

Yes

$4k Vol.

$140 Liq.

1

Ends in 7 months

U

UK Recession in 2026?

4%

Yes

$13k Vol.

$4k Liq.

3

Ends in 7 months

C

China Annual GDP Growth 2026

91%

4.0–5.0%

$908k Vol.

$88k Liq.

17

Ends in 4 months

J

Japan GDP growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ Annualized)?

36%

0.0%–0.8%

$27k Vol.

$4k Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

U

UK Annual GDP Growth 2026

89%

1-2%

$92k Vol.

$11k Liq.

1

Ends in 5 months

A

Amazon 2026 capex above ___?

99%

$170 billion

$24k Vol.

$5k Liq.

1

Ends in 7 months

B

Brazil GDP Growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ)?

31%

0.0% to 0.2%

$16k Vol.

$2k Liq.

Ends in 2 months

E

Economy·Macro Indicators

Eurozone Annual GDP Growth 2026

66%

0-1.0%

$51k Vol.

$11k Liq.

Ends in 4 months

U

Economy·Business

US recession by end of 2027?

35%

Yes

$9k Vol.

$19k Liq.

Ends in over 1 year

U

Economy·Business

US recession by end of 2026?

8%

Yes

$2.0m Vol.

$33k Liq.

Ends in 3 months

W

Politics·Trump

Will BLS stop reporting payroll data this year?

No

$60k Vol.

$0 Liq.

2

Ended

U

Finance·economics

U.S. Recession in 2024?

No

$876k Vol.

$0 Liq.

72

Ended

D

All

Did US GDP grow more than 2.5% in Q4 2022?

$520 Vol.

$0 Liq.

Ended

U

Economy·Business

US recession in 2025?

No

$11.7m Vol.

$0 Liq.

707

Ended

R

Ralph Lauren Q4 comparable store sales growth?

12%+

$326 Vol.

$0 Liq.

Ended

J

Japan GDP growth in Q2 2026 (QoQ Annualized)?

0.8%–1.6%

$101k Vol.

$0 Liq.

Ended

G

Google reports Gemini monthly active users above __ in Q1?

800M

$6k Vol.

$0 Liq.

Ended

W

Will AbbVie Q2 Global Skyrizi net revenues be above __?

$18B

$9k Vol.

$0 Liq.

Ended

W

Will GameStop Q1 net sales be above __?

$500M

$16k Vol.

$0 Liq.

Ended

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SEC removes quarterly reporting requirement?

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SEC removes quarterly reporting requirement?