Product Releases Predictions & Odds· 141 markets

W
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?

21%

Yes

$313k Vol.
$5k Liq.
39
Ends in 3 months
W
Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?

24%

December 31, 2026

$439k Vol.
$12k Liq.
46
Ends in 3 months
M
MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

12%

Yes

$2.6m Vol.
$287 Liq.
135
Ends in 3 months
N
Next Gemini Pro Model released on...?

Next Gemini Pro Model released on...?

38%

On or prior to October 1

$2k Vol.
$25k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
What will the next Muse model family be named?

50%

Other

$3k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
N
Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?

Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?

92%

No release by September 30

$129k Vol.
$41k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
W
What kind of product will OpenAI announce in 2026?

19%

Clip-on device for clothing

$437k Vol.
$26k Liq.
13
Ends in 3 months
G
Grok 5 released by...?

Grok 5 released by...?

46%

December 31

$15k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
N
Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by...?

Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by...?

83%

October 31

$1.3m Vol.
$10k Liq.
13
Ends in about 1 month
A
Apple Vision Pro 2 released before 2027?

4%

Yes

$6k Vol.
$2k Liq.
6
Ends in 3 months
H
Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

37%

December 31, 2027

$575k Vol.
$10k Liq.
38
Ends in over 1 year
W
Will Tesla release Optimus by...?

Will Tesla release Optimus by...?

10%

Yes

$126k Vol.
$3k Liq.
16
Ends in 3 months
N
Next Muse Spark Model (1.4+) released on...?

Next Muse Spark Model (1.4+) released on...?

18%

No release by October 31

$2k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
When will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released?

When will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released?

32%

October 12–October 18

$70k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
M
Meta's "Watermelon" model released by...?

Meta's "Watermelon" model released by...?

89%

November 30

$55k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
B
Base iPhone 18 released by...?

Base iPhone 18 released by...?

79%

April 30, 2027

$480 Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 7 months
C
Canada GDP: July 2026 (MoM)

Canada GDP: July 2026 (MoM)

54%

0.0 to 0.1%

$12k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 6 days
N
Next Z.ai GLM (5.4+) released by...?

Next Z.ai GLM (5.4+) released by...?

86%

October 31

$19k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
U
US recession by end of 2027?

US recession by end of 2027?

35%

Yes

$10k Vol.
$20k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
N
Next Muse Spark (1.4+) released by...?

Next Muse Spark (1.4+) released by...?

84%

October 31

$25k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month