Product Releases Predictions & Odds· 141 markets

W
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?

30%

Yes

$314k Vol.
$3k Liq.
39
Ends in 3 months
W
Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?

34%

December 31, 2026

$470k Vol.
$8k Liq.
46
Ends in 3 months
M
MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

14%

Yes

$2.6m Vol.
$294 Liq.
135
Ends in 3 months
N
Next Gemini Pro Model released on...?

Next Gemini Pro Model released on...?

21%

No release by October 31

$23k Vol.
$48k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
What will the next Muse model family be named?

What will the next Muse model family be named?

50%

Other

$12k Vol.
$21k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
N
Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?

Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?

88%

No release by September 30

$156k Vol.
$20k Liq.
Ends in 1 day
W
What kind of product will OpenAI announce in 2026?

17%

Clip-on device for clothing

$440k Vol.
$27k Liq.
13
Ends in 3 months
G
Grok 5 released by...?

Grok 5 released by...?

52%

December 31

$16k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
N
Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by...?

Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by...?

83%

October 31

$1.4m Vol.
$21k Liq.
14
Ends in about 1 month
A
Apple Vision Pro 2 released before 2027?

3%

Yes

$6k Vol.
$2k Liq.
6
Ends in 3 months
H
Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

37%

December 31, 2027

$577k Vol.
$5k Liq.
43
Ends in over 1 year
W
Will Tesla release Optimus by...?

Will Tesla release Optimus by...?

8%

Yes

$130k Vol.
$6k Liq.
16
Ends in 3 months
N
Next Muse Spark Model (1.4+) released on...?

Next Muse Spark Model (1.4+) released on...?

22%

October 8

$8k Vol.
$31k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
When will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released?

When will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released?

22%

October 12–October 18

$135k Vol.
$39k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
M
Meta's "Watermelon" model released by...?

Meta's "Watermelon" model released by...?

89%

October 31

$65k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
B
Base iPhone 18 released by...?

Base iPhone 18 released by...?

82%

April 30, 2027

$667 Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 7 months
N
Next Z.ai GLM (5.4+) released by...?

Next Z.ai GLM (5.4+) released by...?

84%

October 31

$19k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
M
Meta's Watermelon released on...?

Meta's Watermelon released on...?

15%

October 20

$4k Vol.
$14k Liq.
1
Ends in about 1 month
U
US recession by end of 2027?

US recession by end of 2027?

35%

Yes

$10k Vol.
$23k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
N
Next Muse Spark (1.4+) released by...?

Next Muse Spark (1.4+) released by...?

92%

October 31

$29k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month