Primaries Predictions & Odds· 101 markets

W
Will Trump's first endorsement before the primaries be the 2028 GOP nominee?

39%

Yes

$109 Vol.
$80 Liq.
Ends in almost 2 years
F
French Socialist Primary: First Round Winner

88%

Raphaël Glucksmann

$5k Vol.
$51k Liq.
Ends in 18 days
W
Will the French Socialist primary be won outright in the first round?

36%

Yes

$645 Vol.
$195 Liq.
2
Ends in 18 days
F
French Socialist Primary: First Round 2nd Place

71%

Olivier Faure

$5k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in 18 days
F
France United Left Primary Winner

France United Left Primary Winner

92%

Canceled

$229k Vol.
$94k Liq.
31
Ends in 6 months
M
Massachusetts passes jungle primary ballot measure?

32%

Yes

$1k Vol.
$316 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
L
LA-05 Republican Primary Winner

LA-05 Republican Primary Winner

3%

Misti Cordell

$64k Vol.
$62k Liq.
1
Ends in about 1 month
S
Socialist Party of France Presidential Nominee

73%

Raphael Glucksmann

$52k Vol.
$131k Liq.
12
Ends in 7 months
S
South Carolina Presidential Democratic Primary Winner

50%

Candidate A

$13k Vol.
$133k Liq.
Ends in almost 2 years
R
Republican VP Nominee 2028

Republican VP Nominee 2028

30%

Marco Rubio

$47k Vol.
$911k Liq.
1
Ends in almost 2 years
W
Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?

98%

Yes

$14k Vol.
$10k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

19%

Iran Reconstruction Funding

$973k Vol.
$313k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
H
How many Republican Governors after the 2026 midterm elections?

34%

22–23

$696k Vol.
$68k Liq.
4
Ends in about 1 month
N
New Hampshire Democratic Senate Primary: Margin of Victory

98%

Pappas 30–35%

$6k Vol.
$99k Liq.
Ended
W
Which party will win young men in the midterms?

78%

Democrats

$3k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in about 2 months
M
MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

14%

Yes

$2.6m Vol.
$311 Liq.
135
Ends in 3 months
A
Arkansas Senate Election Winner

Arkansas Senate Election Winner

95%

Tom Cotton (R)

$19k Vol.
$59k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
A
Alaska passes ballot measure repealing ranked choice voting?

32%

Yes

$576 Vol.
$524 Liq.
Ends in 6 months