Primaries Predictions & Odds· 101 markets

W
Will Trump's first endorsement before the primaries be the 2028 GOP nominee?

39%

Yes

$109 Vol.
$61 Liq.
Ends in almost 2 years
F
French Socialist Primary: First Round Winner

90%

Raphaël Glucksmann

$5k Vol.
$51k Liq.
Ends in 20 days
W
Will the French Socialist primary be won outright in the first round?

36%

Yes

$645 Vol.
$220 Liq.
2
Ends in 20 days
F
French Socialist Primary: First Round 2nd Place

70%

Olivier Faure

$5k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in 20 days
F
France United Left Primary Winner

France United Left Primary Winner

92%

Canceled

$228k Vol.
$90k Liq.
31
Ends in 20 days
M
Massachusetts passes jungle primary ballot measure?

52%

Yes

$1k Vol.
$298 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
L
LA-05 Republican Primary Winner

LA-05 Republican Primary Winner

3%

Misti Cordell

$64k Vol.
$60k Liq.
1
Ends in about 1 month
S
South Carolina Presidential Democratic Primary Winner

50%

Candidate A

$13k Vol.
$113k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
R
Republican VP Nominee 2028

Republican VP Nominee 2028

30%

Marco Rubio

$47k Vol.
$868k Liq.
1
Ends in almost 2 years
W
Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?

98%

Yes

$14k Vol.
$10k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month
H
How many Republican Governors after the 2026 midterm elections?

35%

22–23

$696k Vol.
$67k Liq.
4
Ends in about 1 month
N
New Hampshire Democratic Senate Primary: Margin of Victory

98%

Pappas 30–35%

$6k Vol.
$98k Liq.
Ended
M
MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

14%

Yes

$2.6m Vol.
$349 Liq.
135
Ends in 3 months
W
Which party will win young men in the midterms?

79%

Democrats

$2k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in about 2 months
2
2026 Midterms: House Turnout

2026 Midterms: House Turnout

20%

115-120m

$30k Vol.
$125k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
O
OR-01 House Election Winner

OR-01 House Election Winner

96%

Suzanne Bonamici (D)

$27k Vol.
$21k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
A
Alaska passes ballot measure repealing ranked choice voting?

36%

Yes

$576 Vol.
$340 Liq.
Ends in 6 months
R
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?

3%

Yes

$178k Vol.
$23k Liq.
10
Ends in 4 months