Presidential Primary Predictions & Odds· 134 markets

S
South Carolina Presidential Democratic Primary Winner

50%

Candidate A

$13k Vol.
$132k Liq.
Ends in almost 2 years
F
France United Left Primary Winner

France United Left Primary Winner

93%

Canceled

$229k Vol.
$90k Liq.
31
Ends in 6 months
F
French Socialist Primary: First Round Winner

88%

Raphaël Glucksmann

$5k Vol.
$49k Liq.
Ends in 18 days
W
Will the French Socialist primary be won outright in the first round?

36%

Yes

$645 Vol.
$245 Liq.
2
Ends in 18 days
F
French Socialist Primary: First Round 2nd Place

71%

Olivier Faure

$5k Vol.
$22k Liq.
Ends in 18 days
W
Will Trump's first endorsement before the primaries be the 2028 GOP nominee?

39%

Yes

$109 Vol.
$78 Liq.
Ends in almost 2 years
B
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Federal District

92%

Flavio Bolsonaro

$34k Vol.
$200k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
B
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Acre

97%

Flavio Bolsonaro

$11k Vol.
$240k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
B
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Minas Gerais

51%

Lula

$34k Vol.
$208k Liq.
3
Ends in 9 months
B
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Alagoas

98%

Lula

$14k Vol.
$251k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
B
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Tocantins

65%

Flavio Bolsonaro

$25k Vol.
$186k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
B
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in São Paulo

95%

Flavio Bolsonaro

$26k Vol.
$212k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
B
Brazil Presidential Election First Round Winner

69%

Lula

$187k Vol.
$495k Liq.
6
Ends in 9 months
B
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Rio Grande do Norte

97%

Lula

$11k Vol.
$218k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
B
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Rio de Janeiro

92%

Flavio Bolsonaro

$25k Vol.
$195k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
B
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Espírito Santo

95%

Flavio Bolsonaro

$21k Vol.
$203k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
W
Who will Trump endorse first in the 2028 US presidential election?

51%

J.D. Vance

$20k Vol.
$165k Liq.
1
Ends in about 2 years
B
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Pará

95%

Lula

$20k Vol.
$208k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
W
Will Trump endorse any candidate for President before 2027?

4%

Yes

$34k Vol.
$9k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
B
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Amazonas

72%

Lula

$27k Vol.
$182k Liq.
Ends in 9 months