Opus Predictions & Odds· 196 markets

N
Next Claude Opus released on...?

Next Claude Opus released on...?

74%

September 22

$252k Vol.
$89k Liq.
🔥$207k today
Ends in 9 days
N
Next Claude Opus released by...?

Next Claude Opus released by...?

99%

October 31

$273k Vol.
$26k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
N
Next Claude Opus Model: Text Arena Debut?

Next Claude Opus Model: Text Arena Debut?

69%

1500+

$88k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
N
Next Claude Opus Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?

96%

45%+

$25k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
T
The Game Awards: Best Game Direction

The Game Awards: Best Game Direction

50%

Game A

$37k Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
T
The Game Awards: Best Narrative

The Game Awards: Best Narrative

50%

Game A

$20k Vol.
$10k Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months
B
Buenos Aires 2 (Doubles): Cigarran/Olivieri vs Oliveira/Rodrigues

Tennis · Sports

Buenos Aires 2 (Doubles): Cigarran/Olivieri vs Oliveira/Rodrigues

39%

Cigarran/Olivieri

$0 Vol.
$461 Liq.
Ends in 7 days
N
Next Claude Sonnet released by...?

Next Claude Sonnet released by...?

96%

December 31

$24k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
N
Next Claude Haiku released by...?

Next Claude Haiku released by...?

33%

December 31

$10k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
N
Next Sonnet Model: Text Arena Debut?

Next Sonnet Model: Text Arena Debut?

23%

1470+

$33k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
W15 Belem: Vitoria Beatriz Rodrigues Oliveira vs Maria Moraes

Tennis · Sports

W15 Belem: Vitoria Beatriz Rodrigues Oliveira vs Maria Moraes

$3k Vol.
$20 Liq.
Ends in 6 days
G
Genoa 2 (Doubles): Kalender/Serdarusic vs Broska/Oradini

Tennis · Sports

Genoa 2 (Doubles): Kalender/Serdarusic vs Broska/Oradini

51%

Kalender/Serdarusic

$5k Vol.
$208k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
M
M25 Falun: Noah Karma vs Jack Karlsson Wistrand

Tennis · Sports

M25 Falun: Noah Karma vs Jack Karlsson Wistrand

76%

Noah Karma

$7 Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
C
Claude 6 released by...?

Claude 6 released by...?

90%

December 31, 2027

$26k Vol.
$21k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
N
Next Claude Opus: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?

35%+

$62k Vol.
$0 Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
N
Next Claude Opus released on...?

July 24

$531k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
N
Next Claude Opus: Text Arena Debut?

Next Claude Opus: Text Arena Debut?

1470+

$233k Vol.
$0 Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
N
Next Claude Opus released by...?

Next Claude Opus released by...?

August 31

$1.3m Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
C
Claude Opus 4.8: Arena Debut?

<1480

$93k Vol.
$0 Liq.
36
C
Claude Opus 4.7: Arena Debut?

1480+

$194k Vol.
$0 Liq.
2