Nonfarm Payroll Predictions & Odds· 139 markets

W
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

4%

December 31

$70.3m Vol.
$1.3m Liq.
🔥$73k today
1,704
Ends in 3 months
V
Virginia Fonseca and Vinícius Júnior confirm breakup in 2026?

16%

Yes

$3k Vol.
$789 Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
C
Clavicular and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez confirm relationship in 2026?

2%

Yes

$5k Vol.
$3k Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months
A
Alix Earle and Lando Norris confirm relationship in 2026?

34%

Yes

$72 Vol.
$52 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
L
Lindsay Hubbard and Matt James confirm relationship in 2026?

46%

Yes

$510 Vol.
$43 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
H
How many jobs added in September?

How many jobs added in September?

38%

50k to 100k

$11k Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in 9 days
J
JOLTS Job Openings: August 2026

JOLTS Job Openings: August 2026

24%

7.4M to 7.5M

$17k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 5 days
W
Will Conagra (CAG) beat quarterly earnings?

65%

Yes

$889 Vol.
$305 Liq.
Ends in 5 days
W
Will FedEx (FDX) beat quarterly earnings?

50%

Yes

$5k Vol.
$468 Liq.
Ended
W
Will FactSet (FDS) beat quarterly earnings?

67%

Yes

$1k Vol.
$524 Liq.
Ends in 6 days
U
US economic state at the end of 2026?

US economic state at the end of 2026?

67%

Overheating (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%)

$97k Vol.
$7k Liq.
7
Ends in 4 months
W
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2023?

All · Science

Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2023?

No

$116k Vol.
$0 Liq.
15
Ended
W
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by August 31?

No

$856k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
W
Who will vote to confirm Jay Clayton as Director of National Intelligence

Lisa Murkowski

$22k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Who will vote to confirm Todd Blanche as Attorney General?

Dan Sullivan

$64k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Who will vote to confirm Kevin Warsh as Fed Chair?

Thom Tillis

$149k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended