Musk V Altman Predictions & Odds· 145 markets

W
Who will attend the White House state dinner for Xi Jinping?

96%

Sundar Pichai

$16k Vol.
$37k Liq.
1
Ends in 15 days
T
TIME Person of the Year 2026

TIME Person of the Year 2026

28%

Zohran Mamdani

$65k Vol.
$570k Liq.
12
Ends in 9 months
E
Elon Musk # tweets September 18 - September 25, 2026?

Elon Musk # tweets September 18 - September 25, 2026?

36%

220-239

$942k Vol.
$387k Liq.
🔥$321k today
Ends in 3 days
E
Elon Musk # tweets September 21 - September 23, 2026?

Elon Musk # tweets September 21 - September 23, 2026?

51%

65-89

$302k Vol.
$95k Liq.
🔥$235k today
Ends in about 21 hours
E
Elon Musk # tweets September 22 - September 29, 2026?

Elon Musk # tweets September 22 - September 29, 2026?

22%

220-239

$279k Vol.
$202k Liq.
🔥$134k today
Ends in 7 days
E
Elon Musk # tweets September 25 - October 2, 2026?

21%

180-199

$41k Vol.
$209k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
E
Elon Musk # tweets in October 2026?

Elon Musk # tweets in October 2026?

42%

1000+

$132k Vol.
$152k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
E
Elon Musk # tweets September 24 - September 26, 2026?

53%

40-64

$11k Vol.
$26k Liq.
Ends in 4 days
W
Will Elon Musk get full custody of the St. Clair child?

5%

Yes

$10k Vol.
$367 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
E
Elon Musk signs the Pacing the Frontier statement by September 30?

2%

Yes

$11k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
W
Will Elon Musk tweet "Hyperliquid" by ___?

12%

December 31, 2026

$65k Vol.
$7k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Justin Sun meet with Elon Musk in 2026?

34%

Yes

$19k Vol.
$112 Liq.
6
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration in 2026?

8%

Yes

$10k Vol.
$281 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
M
Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2027?

Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2027?

5%

Yes

$17k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Elon Musk announce Presidential run before 2027?

1%

Yes

$26k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
E
Elon Musk # of tweets in September 2026?

22%

880-919

$201k Vol.
$94k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
E
Elon Musk Net Worth on September 30?

Elon Musk Net Worth on September 30?

72%

$900B-$1.00T

$24k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
P
Presidential Election Winner 2028

Presidential Election Winner 2028

21%

JD Vance

$708.3m Vol.
$59.8m Liq.
🔥$925k today
1,035
Ends in over 2 years
R
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

51%

J.D. Vance

$707.4m Vol.
$51.9m Liq.
🔥$605k today
441
Ends in about 2 years
N
Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

14%

Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms

$24.5m Vol.
$1.6m Liq.
209
Ends in 6 months