Musk V Altman Predictions & Odds· 147 markets

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TIME Person of the Year 2026

TIME Person of the Year 2026

28%

Zohran Mamdani

$79k Vol.
$579k Liq.
12
Ends in 9 months
W
Who will attend the White House state dinner for Xi Jinping?

2%

Alex Karp

$49k Vol.
$28k Liq.
7
Ends in 12 days
E
Elon Musk # tweets September 24 - September 26, 2026?

Elon Musk # tweets September 24 - September 26, 2026?

97%

40-64

$346k Vol.
$94k Liq.
🔥$217k today
Ends in about 6 hours
E
Elon Musk # tweets September 25 - October 2, 2026?

Elon Musk # tweets September 25 - October 2, 2026?

24%

180-199

$457k Vol.
$284k Liq.
🔥$200k today
Ends in 6 days
E
Elon Musk # tweets September 22 - September 29, 2026?

Elon Musk # tweets September 22 - September 29, 2026?

34%

160-179

$754k Vol.
$398k Liq.
🔥$149k today
Ends in 3 days
E
Elon Musk # tweets September 26 - September 28, 2026?

56%

40-64

$31k Vol.
$84k Liq.
Ends in 2 days
E
Elon Musk # tweets September 29 - October 6, 2026?

21%

200-219

$4k Vol.
$175k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
E
Elon Musk # tweets in October 2026?

Elon Musk # tweets in October 2026?

34%

1000+

$160k Vol.
$146k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
E
Elon Musk signs the Pacing the Frontier statement by September 30?

1%

Yes

$11k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 5 days
W
Will Elon Musk tweet "Hyperliquid" by ___?

12%

December 31, 2026

$65k Vol.
$9k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Justin Sun meet with Elon Musk in 2026?

34%

Yes

$19k Vol.
$117 Liq.
6
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Elon Musk get full custody of the St. Clair child?

5%

Yes

$10k Vol.
$537 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration in 2026?

7%

Yes

$10k Vol.
$332 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
M
Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2027?

Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2027?

4%

Yes

$17k Vol.
$148 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Elon Musk announce Presidential run before 2027?

1%

Yes

$26k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
E
Elon Musk # of tweets in September 2026?

44%

840-879

$261k Vol.
$164k Liq.
Ends in 5 days
E
Elon Musk Net Worth on September 30?

Elon Musk Net Worth on September 30?

61%

$900B-$1.00T

$38k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 5 days
P
Presidential Election Winner 2028

Presidential Election Winner 2028

21%

JD Vance

$709.5m Vol.
$60.7m Liq.
🔥$382k today
1,036
Ends in over 2 years
R
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

51%

J.D. Vance

$708.0m Vol.
$51.9m Liq.
🔥$72k today
441
Ends in about 2 years
N
Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

15%

Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms

$25.0m Vol.
$2.1m Liq.
🔥$51k today
213
Ends in 6 months