Musk V Altman Predictions & Odds· 147 markets

W
Who will attend the White House state dinner for Xi Jinping?

16%

Alex Karp

$48k Vol.
$850 Liq.
7
Ends in 13 days
T
TIME Person of the Year 2026

TIME Person of the Year 2026

28%

Zohran Mamdani

$77k Vol.
$572k Liq.
12
Ends in 9 months
E
Elon Musk # tweets September 18 - September 25, 2026?

Elon Musk # tweets September 18 - September 25, 2026?

83%

200-219

$2.1m Vol.
$628k Liq.
🔥$617k today
Ends in about 8 hours
E
Elon Musk # tweets September 22 - September 29, 2026?

Elon Musk # tweets September 22 - September 29, 2026?

28%

180-199

$599k Vol.
$258k Liq.
🔥$108k today
Ends in 4 days
E
Elon Musk # tweets September 24 - September 26, 2026?

70%

40-64

$113k Vol.
$71k Liq.
🔥$79k today
Ends in 1 day
E
Elon Musk # tweets September 25 - October 2, 2026?

21%

200-219

$224k Vol.
$351k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
E
Elon Musk # tweets in October 2026?

Elon Musk # tweets in October 2026?

36%

1000+

$156k Vol.
$127k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
E
Elon Musk # tweets September 26 - September 28, 2026?

55%

40-64

$6k Vol.
$36k Liq.
Ends in 3 days
W
Will Elon Musk get full custody of the St. Clair child?

5%

Yes

$10k Vol.
$525 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
E
Elon Musk signs the Pacing the Frontier statement by September 30?

2%

Yes

$11k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 6 days
W
Will Elon Musk tweet "Hyperliquid" by ___?

12%

December 31, 2026

$65k Vol.
$7k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Justin Sun meet with Elon Musk in 2026?

34%

Yes

$19k Vol.
$121 Liq.
6
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration in 2026?

7%

Yes

$10k Vol.
$404 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
M
Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2027?

Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2027?

3%

Yes

$17k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Elon Musk announce Presidential run before 2027?

1%

Yes

$26k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
E
Elon Musk # of tweets in September 2026?

31%

840-879

$249k Vol.
$160k Liq.
Ends in 6 days
E
Elon Musk Net Worth on September 30?

Elon Musk Net Worth on September 30?

66%

$900B-$1.00T

$37k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 6 days
R
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

51%

J.D. Vance

$708.0m Vol.
$51.8m Liq.
🔥$445k today
441
Ends in about 2 years
P
Presidential Election Winner 2028

Presidential Election Winner 2028

21%

JD Vance

$709.1m Vol.
$60.8m Liq.
🔥$291k today
1,037
Ends in over 2 years
N
Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

13%

Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms

$24.9m Vol.
$2.1m Liq.
🔥$113k today
213
Ends in 6 months