Moonshot Predictions & Odds· 450 markets

K
Kimi (Moonshot AI) IPO by...?

Kimi (Moonshot AI) IPO by...?

78%

June 30, 2027

$9k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
W
Which company has the best AI model end of September?

Which company has the best AI model end of September?

99%

Anthropic

$3.9m Vol.
$1.6m Liq.
🔥$80k today
Ends in 7 days
B
Best Chinese AI Company end of September?

Best Chinese AI Company end of September?

92%

Alibaba

$614k Vol.
$101k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
W
Which company has the best AI model end of October?

Which company has the best AI model end of October?

89%

Anthropic

$393k Vol.
$697k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
Which company has the best Code Arena WebDev AI model end of September?

87%

Anthropic

$210k Vol.
$37k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
T
Third-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of September?

75%

Alibaba

$61k Vol.
$23k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
W
Which AI labs commit to third party vetting by October 31?

37%

Meituan

$77k Vol.
$6k Liq.
3
Ends in about 1 month
S
Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of September?

81%

OpenAI

$99k Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
W
Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

74%

Anthropic

$1.4m Vol.
$999k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) end of October?

68%

Anthropic

$33k Vol.
$26k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
Which companies will have a #1 AI model by December 31?

27%

Google

$162k Vol.
$104k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
S
Second-best AI Lab end of October?

Second-best AI Lab end of October?

54%

Google

$23k Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
Which company has the best Code Arena WebDev AI model end of October?

50%

Other

$78k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
T
Third-best AI Lab end of October?

Third-best AI Lab end of October?

50%

Company A

$32k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of November?

57%

Anthropic

$16k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
S
Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of September?

66%

Z.ai

$136k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
W
Which company has the best AI Agent end of September?

92%

Anthropic

$232k Vol.
$62k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
B
Best Chinese AI Company end of October?

Best Chinese AI Company end of October?

63%

Alibaba

$109k Vol.
$30k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
S
Second-best AI Agent Lab end of September?

Second-best AI Agent Lab end of September?

91%

OpenAI

$65k Vol.
$22k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
W
Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) end of September?

96%

Anthropic

$72k Vol.
$28k Liq.
Ends in 7 days