Moonshot Predictions & Odds· 450 markets

K
Kimi (Moonshot AI) IPO by...?

Kimi (Moonshot AI) IPO by...?

78%

June 30, 2027

$9k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
W
Which company has the best AI model end of September?

Which company has the best AI model end of September?

98%

Anthropic

$3.8m Vol.
$1.6m Liq.
🔥$121k today
Ends in 8 days
W
Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

73%

Anthropic

$1.4m Vol.
$994k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Which company has the best Code Arena WebDev AI model end of September?

63%

OpenAI

$187k Vol.
$50k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
W
Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) end of September?

97%

Anthropic

$71k Vol.
$36k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
B
Best Chinese AI Company end of September?

Best Chinese AI Company end of September?

91%

Alibaba

$574k Vol.
$116k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
W
Which company has the best AI model end of November?

87%

Anthropic

$12k Vol.
$45k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
W
Which company has the best AI Agent end of September?

92%

Anthropic

$231k Vol.
$83k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
W
Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) end of October?

77%

Anthropic

$31k Vol.
$31k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
S
Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of September?

56%

Anthropic

$91k Vol.
$29k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
W
Which AI labs commit to third party vetting by October 31?

34%

Google

$65k Vol.
$63k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month
H
Highest Kimi score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

89%

45%+

$68k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
S
Second-best AI Agent Lab end of September?

Second-best AI Agent Lab end of September?

90%

OpenAI

$64k Vol.
$56k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
W
Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) end of September?

92%

Anthropic

$55k Vol.
$68k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
W
Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) end of October?

80%

Anthropic

$25k Vol.
$27k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
T
Third-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of September?

52%

Alibaba

$49k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
W
Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of September?

93%

Anthropic

$66k Vol.
$36k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
W
Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of November?

62%

Anthropic

$14k Vol.
$16k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
W
Which company has the best AI model end of October?

Which company has the best AI model end of October?

89%

Anthropic

$367k Vol.
$470k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
Which companies will have a #1 AI model by December 31?

27%

Google

$160k Vol.
$110k Liq.
Ends in 3 months