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Moonshot Predictions & Odds· 224 markets

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K
Kimi (Moonshot AI) IPO by...?

Finance·AI

Kimi (Moonshot AI) IPO by...?

72%

June 30, 2027

$7k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
W
Which company has the best AI model end of September?

Tech·AI

Which company has the best AI model end of September?

99%

Anthropic

$3.7m Vol.
$1.5m Liq.
🔥$67k today
Ends in 9 days
W
Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

Tech·AI

Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

71%

Anthropic

$1.4m Vol.
$1.0m Liq.
Ends in 3 months
B
Best Chinese AI Company end of September?

Tech·AI

Best Chinese AI Company end of September?

88%

Alibaba

$565k Vol.
$99k Liq.
Ends in 9 days
W
Which company has the best Code Arena WebDev AI model end of September?

Tech·AI

Which company has the best Code Arena WebDev AI model end of September?

71%

OpenAI

$170k Vol.
$54k Liq.
Ends in 9 days
T
Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of September?

Tech·AI

Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of September?

68%

Moonshot

$64k Vol.
$22k Liq.
Ends in 9 days
S
Second-best AI Agent Lab end of October?

Tech·AI

Second-best AI Agent Lab end of October?

84%

OpenAI

$46k Vol.
$48k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
S
Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of September?

Tech·AI

Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of September?

72%

Z.ai

$134k Vol.
$32k Liq.
Ends in 9 days
W
Which company has the best AI model end of October?

Tech·AI

Which company has the best AI model end of October?

89%

Anthropic

$365k Vol.
$469k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
S
Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of September?

Tech·AI

Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of September?

67%

Anthropic

$87k Vol.
$45k Liq.
Ends in 9 days
W
Which company has the best AI Agent end of October?

Tech·AI

Which company has the best AI Agent end of October?

87%

Anthropic

$36k Vol.
$30k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
B
Best Chinese AI Company end of October?

Tech·AI

Best Chinese AI Company end of October?

65%

Alibaba

$107k Vol.
$32k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
S
Second-best AI Lab end of September?

Tech·AI

Second-best AI Lab end of September?

84%

Google

$111k Vol.
$49k Liq.
Ends in 9 days
W
Which AI labs commit to third party vetting by October 31?

Tech·AI

Which AI labs commit to third party vetting by October 31?

41%

Google

$63k Vol.
$56k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month
#
#2 AI Lab end of September? (Style Control On)

Tech·AI

#2 AI Lab end of September? (Style Control On)

88%

Meta

$89k Vol.
$34k Liq.
Ends in 9 days
W
Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of November?

Tech·AI

Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of November?

61%

Anthropic

$13k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
#
#2 AI Lab end of November? (Style Control On)

Tech·AI

#2 AI Lab end of November? (Style Control On)

50%

Other

$11k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
W
Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) end of October?

Tech·AI

Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) end of October?

77%

Anthropic

$26k Vol.
$52k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
T
Third-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of October?

Tech·AI

Third-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of October?

50%

Other

$42k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
H
Highest Kimi score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

Tech·AI

Highest Kimi score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

85%

45%+

$65k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 3 months

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