Moon Predictions & Odds· 488 markets

H
Human moon landing in 2026?

Human moon landing in 2026?

2%

Yes

$2.0m Vol.
$22k Liq.
34
Ends in 3 months
C
Counter-Strike: Dark Moon vs JUMBO TEAM (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season

47%

Dark Moon

$37 Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ended
K
Kimi (Moonshot AI) IPO by...?

Kimi (Moonshot AI) IPO by...?

80%

June 30, 2027

$9k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
W
Which company has the best AI model end of September?

Which company has the best AI model end of September?

98%

Anthropic

$3.8m Vol.
$1.6m Liq.
🔥$120k today
Ends in 8 days
W
Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

73%

Anthropic

$1.4m Vol.
$1.0m Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Which company has the best Code Arena WebDev AI model end of September?

64%

OpenAI

$185k Vol.
$45k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
B
Best Chinese AI Company end of September?

Best Chinese AI Company end of September?

91%

Alibaba

$574k Vol.
$113k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
W
Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) end of September?

96%

Anthropic

$71k Vol.
$31k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
W
Which company has the best AI model end of November?

87%

Anthropic

$12k Vol.
$45k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
W
Which company has the best AI Agent end of September?

92%

Anthropic

$231k Vol.
$50k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
W
Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) end of October?

77%

Anthropic

$31k Vol.
$35k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
Which AI labs commit to third party vetting by October 31?

34%

Google

$65k Vol.
$60k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month
H
Highest Kimi score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

89%

45%+

$68k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
S
Second-best AI Agent Lab end of September?

Second-best AI Agent Lab end of September?

90%

OpenAI

$64k Vol.
$40k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
S
Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of September?

57%

Anthropic

$89k Vol.
$26k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
W
Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) end of September?

92%

Anthropic

$55k Vol.
$39k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
W
Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) end of October?

79%

Anthropic

$25k Vol.
$28k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
T
Third-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of September?

50%

Other

$49k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
W
Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of September?

93%

Anthropic

$66k Vol.
$33k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
W
Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of November?

62%

Anthropic

$14k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in 2 months