Model Predictions & Odds· 252 markets

W
Which company has the best AI model end of September?

Which company has the best AI model end of September?

99%

Anthropic

$3.7m Vol.
$1.5m Liq.
🔥$67k today
Ends in 9 days
W
Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

71%

Anthropic

$1.4m Vol.
$1.0m Liq.
Ends in 3 months
N
Next Claude Opus Model: Text Arena Debut?

Next Claude Opus Model: Text Arena Debut?

69%

1500+

$88k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
When will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released?

When will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released?

38%

October 12–October 18

$67k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
Which company has the best AI model end of October?

Which company has the best AI model end of October?

89%

Anthropic

$365k Vol.
$464k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
N
Next Grok Model (4.7+): Text Arena Debut?

Next Grok Model (4.7+): Text Arena Debut?

36%

1450+

$17k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
W
Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of November?

63%

Anthropic

$13k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
N
Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?

Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?

94%

No release by September 30

$120k Vol.
$53k Liq.
Ends in 9 days
N
Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by...?

Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by...?

82%

October 31

$1.3m Vol.
$15k Liq.
13
Ends in about 1 month
W
Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) end of October?

77%

Anthropic

$26k Vol.
$44k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
N
Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?

93%

40%+

$70k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
N
Next GPT Sol Model (5.7+) released on...?

Next GPT Sol Model (5.7+) released on...?

33%

September 28

$2k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 14 days
N
Next GPT Luna Model (5.7+) released on...?

Next GPT Luna Model (5.7+) released on...?

27%

October 8

$2k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 24 days
N
Next GPT Luna Model (5.7+): Text Arena Debut?

Next GPT Luna Model (5.7+): Text Arena Debut?

78%

1430+

$1k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
N
Next GPT Sol Model (5.7+): Text Arena Debut?

Next GPT Sol Model (5.7+): Text Arena Debut?

71%

1450+

$1k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
W
Which company has the best AI model end of November?

79%

Anthropic

$4k Vol.
$32k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
W
Will a Chinese company have a top ___ AI model by December 31?

13%

#3

$243k Vol.
$21k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
N
Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Arena Debut?

92%

1480+

$172k Vol.
$9k Liq.
2
W
Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of October?

78%

Anthropic

$39k Vol.
$33k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) end of September?

87%

Anthropic

$52k Vol.
$43k Liq.
Ends in 9 days