Macro Jobs Predictions & Odds· 150 markets

W
Will Macron call a referendum by December 31?

6%

Yes

$109 Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
M
Macron out by...?

Macron out by...?

4%

Yes

$2.2m Vol.
$28k Liq.
92
Ends in 3 months
R
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

51%

J.D. Vance

$708.0m Vol.
$51.8m Liq.
🔥$460k today
441
Ends in about 2 years
P
Presidential Election Winner 2028

Presidential Election Winner 2028

21%

JD Vance

$709.1m Vol.
$60.8m Liq.
🔥$292k today
1,037
Ends in over 2 years
V
Venezuela leader end of 2026?

Venezuela leader end of 2026?

60%

Nicolás Maduro

$97.6m Vol.
$2.2m Liq.
463
Ends in 3 months
W
Who will Trump speak to in September?

Who will Trump speak to in September?

99%

Elon Musk

$195k Vol.
$119k Liq.
Ends in 6 days
W
Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?

85%

Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani

$1.0m Vol.
$223k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
N
Next leader out of power before 2027?

Next leader out of power before 2027?

36%

None before 2027

$580k Vol.
$584k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?

14%

Gavin Newsom

$1.2m Vol.
$856k Liq.
21
Ends in 3 months
U
UEFA Champions League: Most Assists 2026-27

UCL · Soccer

UEFA Champions League: Most Assists 2026-27

50%

Player H

$5k Vol.
$586k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
T
TIME Person of the Year 2026

TIME Person of the Year 2026

28%

Zohran Mamdani

$77k Vol.
$570k Liq.
12
Ends in 9 months
P
Pará Governor Election Winner

Pará Governor Election Winner

64%

Hana Ghassan

$56k Vol.
$111k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
W
What will be the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season?

30%

Other

$45k Vol.
$21k Liq.
1
Ends in 2 months
W
Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027?

33%

Kristi Noem

$1.4m Vol.
$67k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
A
Argentina Presidential Election Winner

Argentina Presidential Election Winner

55%

Javier Milei

$700k Vol.
$207k Liq.
61
Ends in about 2 years
W
Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?

62%

None before 2027

$75k Vol.
$248k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Who will Trump publicly insult by September 30?

92%

Jon Ossoff

$153k Vol.
$20k Liq.
Ends in 6 days
W
Who will announce Presidential run before 2028?

88%

Andy Beshear

$89k Vol.
$378k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
M
MotoGP World Champion (2026)

MotoGP · Sports

MotoGP World Champion (2026)

59%

Marc Marquez

$15k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
M
Minas Gerais Senate Election: 1st Place

Minas Gerais Senate Election: 1st Place

50%

Candidate B

$55k Vol.
$148k Liq.
Ends in 10 days