Macro Jobs Predictions & Odds· 150 markets

W
Will Macron call a referendum by December 31?

6%

Yes

$109 Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
M
Macron out by...?

Macron out by...?

4%

Yes

$2.2m Vol.
$28k Liq.
92
Ends in 3 months
P
Presidential Election Winner 2028

Presidential Election Winner 2028

21%

JD Vance

$709.4m Vol.
$60.8m Liq.
🔥$396k today
1,038
Ends in over 2 years
R
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

51%

J.D. Vance

$708.0m Vol.
$51.9m Liq.
🔥$68k today
441
Ends in about 2 years
V
Venezuela leader end of 2026?

Venezuela leader end of 2026?

60%

Nicolás Maduro

$97.6m Vol.
$2.2m Liq.
465
Ends in 3 months
W
Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?

98%

Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani

$1.0m Vol.
$251k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
W
Who will Trump speak to in September?

Who will Trump speak to in September?

44%

Ursula von der Leyen

$197k Vol.
$116k Liq.
Ends in 5 days
N
Next leader out of power before 2027?

Next leader out of power before 2027?

36%

None before 2027

$584k Vol.
$569k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
A
Argentina Presidential Election Winner

Argentina Presidential Election Winner

56%

Javier Milei

$704k Vol.
$209k Liq.
61
Ends in about 2 years
U
UEFA Champions League: Most Assists 2026-27

UCL · Soccer

UEFA Champions League: Most Assists 2026-27

50%

Player H

$6k Vol.
$74k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
W
Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?

54%

None before 2027

$77k Vol.
$297k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
What will be the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season?

39%

Other

$47k Vol.
$19k Liq.
1
Ends in 2 months
T
Toronto Mayoral Election Winner

Toronto Mayoral Election Winner

88%

Olivia Chow

$189k Vol.
$272k Liq.
10
Ends in about 1 month
W
Who will visit Ukraine by December 31?

Who will visit Ukraine by December 31?

71%

Friedrich Merz

$549k Vol.
$39k Liq.
6
Ends in 3 months
M
Minas Gerais Senate Election: 2nd Place

50%

Candidate B

$57k Vol.
$136k Liq.
Ends in 9 days
W
Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?

14%

Gavin Newsom

$1.2m Vol.
$712k Liq.
21
Ends in 3 months
R
Republican VP Nominee 2028

Republican VP Nominee 2028

30%

Marco Rubio

$48k Vol.
$909k Liq.
1
Ends in almost 2 years
W
Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027?

31%

Markwayne Mullin

$1.4m Vol.
$60k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Who will Trump publicly insult by September 30?

92%

Jon Ossoff

$154k Vol.
$20k Liq.
Ends in 5 days
W
Who will Trump publicly praise in September?

58%

Bryson DeChambeau

$56k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 5 days