Lebanon Predictions & Odds· 215 markets

I
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...?

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...?

6%

December 31

$8.5m Vol.
$129k Liq.
219
Ends in 3 months
I
Israel military action against Lebanon on...?

99%

September 25

$553k Vol.
$22k Liq.
Ends in 5 days
I
Israel x Lebanon Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)

3%

Yes

$16k Vol.
$13k Liq.
1
Ends in 5 days
L
Lebanon Parliamentary Election Winner

Lebanon Parliamentary Election Winner

1%

Amal Movement (Amal)

$678k Vol.
$271k Liq.
14
Ends in about 1 month
I
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?

9%

Yes

$239k Vol.
$21k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
I
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by...?

Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by...?

76%

October 31

$486 Vol.
$668 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
N
Nawaf Salam out as Lebanon PM in 2026?

Nawaf Salam out as Lebanon PM in 2026?

21%

Yes

$1k Vol.
$495 Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
J
Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31?

6%

Yes

$32k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?

10%

Kuwait

$1.7m Vol.
$188k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Which countries will join the Mecca Agreement by December 31?

12%

Egypt

$64k Vol.
$125k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Which countries will recognize Israel by December 31?

11%

Lebanon

$814k Vol.
$412k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Which countries will Donald Trump visit in 2026?

21%

Japan

$663k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
I
Israeli forces enter Beirut by...?

2%

Yes

$139k Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in 4 days
U
U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by...?

U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by...?

7%

Yes

$119k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
I
Israel military action against Beirut by...?

Israel military action against Beirut by...?

17%

October 31

$382k Vol.
$33k Liq.
10
Ends in about 1 month
I
Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by...?

10%

December 31

$458k Vol.
$13k Liq.
24
Ends in 4 days
I
Israeli forces enter Tyre by...?

Israeli forces enter Tyre by...?

2%

Yes

$103k Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in 4 days
I
Israeli forces enter Choukine by...?

Israeli forces enter Choukine by...?

11%

Yes

$170k Vol.
$235 Liq.
3
Ends in 4 days
W
Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by...?

Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by...?

8%

Yes

$54k Vol.
$9k Liq.
10
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Hezbollah disarm by...?

Will Hezbollah disarm by...?

6%

Yes

$3.1m Vol.
$22k Liq.
Ends in 3 months