Labor Market Predictions & Odds· 258 markets

J
JOLTS Job Openings: August 2026

JOLTS Job Openings: August 2026

19%

7.4M to 7.5M

$24k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in about 22 hours
S
September Unemployment Rate

September Unemployment Rate

42%

4.1%

$25k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 4 days
W
Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?

8%

Yes

$10k Vol.
$482 Liq.
2
Ends in 5 months
P
PPI YoY - September 2026

PPI YoY - September 2026

39%

5.9%+

$15k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 18 days
C
Core CPI YoY - September 2026

Core CPI YoY - September 2026

47%

2.4%

$28k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 17 days
C
Core CPI MoM - September 2026

Core CPI MoM - September 2026

48%

0.2%

$18k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 17 days
S
September Inflation US - Annual

September Inflation US - Annual

51%

3.6%

$79k Vol.
$29k Liq.
Ends in 17 days
H
How high will US unemployment go in 2026?

5%

5.0%

$525k Vol.
$12k Liq.
21
Ends in 6 months
U
US economic state at the end of 2026?

US economic state at the end of 2026?

70%

Overheating (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%)

$99k Vol.
$5k Liq.
7
Ends in 4 months
S
September Inflation US - Monthly

September Inflation US - Monthly

44%

0.6%

$44k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 17 days
T
Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?

91%

Up

$26k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
H
How high will inflation get in 2026?

How high will inflation get in 2026?

17%

Above 4.5%

$1.5m Vol.
$61k Liq.
38
Ends in 4 months
M
Mexico Legislative Election: 2nd Place?

77%

PAN

$85k Vol.
$56k Liq.
7
Ends in 8 months
V
Victoria Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place

56%

One Nation

$22k Vol.
$54k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
V
Victoria Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place

65%

Labor

$4k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
M
Mexico Legislative Election Winner

90%

Morena

$105k Vol.
$92k Liq.
Ends in 8 months
V
Victoria Parliamentary Election Winner

73%

Liberal–National

$15k Vol.
$34k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
W
What will Powell say during his speech on October 14?

Mentions · Economy

What will Powell say during his speech on October 14?

Employment / Unemployment 15+ times

$221k Vol.
$0 Liq.
72
Ended
J
January Unemployment Rate

≤4.0%

$48k Vol.
$0 Liq.
45
Ended
N
November Unemployment Rate

4.2%

$68k Vol.
$0 Liq.
45
Ended