Labor Market Predictions & Odds· 112 markets

V
Victoria Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place

64%

One Nation

$22k Vol.
$57k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
V
Victoria Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place

50%

Labor

$4k Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
V
Victoria Parliamentary Election Winner

71%

Liberal–National

$15k Vol.
$28k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
M
Mexico Legislative Election: 2nd Place?

77%

PAN

$85k Vol.
$89k Liq.
7
Ends in 8 months
M
Mexico Legislative Election Winner

91%

Morena

$105k Vol.
$172k Liq.
Ends in 8 months
J
JOLTS Job Openings: August 2026

JOLTS Job Openings: August 2026

19%

7.4M to 7.5M

$19k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 4 days
S
September Unemployment Rate

September Unemployment Rate

39%

4.1%

$24k Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
W
Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?

10%

Yes

$10k Vol.
$354 Liq.
2
Ends in 5 months
H
How high will US unemployment go in 2026?

5%

5.0%

$517k Vol.
$15k Liq.
21
Ends in 6 months
P
PPI YoY - September 2026

PPI YoY - September 2026

39%

5.9%+

$15k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 20 days
U
US economic state at the end of 2026?

US economic state at the end of 2026?

68%

Overheating (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%)

$98k Vol.
$6k Liq.
7
Ends in 4 months
H
How many jobs added in September?

How many jobs added in September?

38%

50k to 100k

$11k Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
T
Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?

91%

Up

$26k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
M
MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

14%

Yes

$2.6m Vol.
$302 Liq.
135
Ends in 3 months
S
September Inflation US - Monthly

September Inflation US - Monthly

42%

0.6%

$40k Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in 19 days
C
Core PCE MoM - August 2026

Core PCE MoM - August 2026

70%

0.3%

$20k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 5 days
S
September Inflation US - Annual

September Inflation US - Annual

47%

3.6%

$77k Vol.
$21k Liq.
Ends in 19 days
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

16%

≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year)

$1.1m Vol.
$269k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
C
Core CPI YoY - September 2026

Core CPI YoY - September 2026

50%

2.4%

$28k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 19 days
Z
Zelenskyy # posts September 25 - October 2, 2026?

54%

80-99

$513 Vol.
$526 Liq.
Ends in 7 days