Labor Market Predictions & Odds· 311 markets

J
JOLTS Job Openings: August 2026

JOLTS Job Openings: August 2026

20%

7.4M to 7.5M

$21k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 3 days
S
September Unemployment Rate

September Unemployment Rate

36%

4.1%

$25k Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in 6 days
W
Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?

9%

Yes

$10k Vol.
$453 Liq.
2
Ends in 5 months
P
PPI YoY - September 2026

PPI YoY - September 2026

39%

5.9%+

$15k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 20 days
C
Core CPI YoY - September 2026

Core CPI YoY - September 2026

50%

2.4%

$28k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 19 days
H
How high will US unemployment go in 2026?

4%

7.0%

$522k Vol.
$12k Liq.
21
Ends in 6 months
S
September Inflation US - Annual

September Inflation US - Annual

47%

3.6%

$78k Vol.
$23k Liq.
Ends in 19 days
C
Core CPI MoM - September 2026

Core CPI MoM - September 2026

49%

0.2%

$17k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 19 days
U
US economic state at the end of 2026?

US economic state at the end of 2026?

68%

Overheating (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%)

$98k Vol.
$6k Liq.
7
Ends in 4 months
T
Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?

91%

Up

$26k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
S
September Inflation US - Monthly

September Inflation US - Monthly

42%

0.6%

$40k Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in 19 days
H
How high will inflation get in 2026?

How high will inflation get in 2026?

17%

Above 4.5%

$1.5m Vol.
$59k Liq.
38
Ends in 4 months
M
Mexico Legislative Election: 2nd Place?

77%

PAN

$85k Vol.
$101k Liq.
7
Ends in 8 months
#
# of views of MrBeast video week 1? (Lower Strikes)

# of views of MrBeast video week 1? (Lower Strikes)

99%

70.0M+

$11k Vol.
$27k Liq.
Ends in about 11 hours
V
Victoria Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place

53%

One Nation

$22k Vol.
$54k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
V
Victoria Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place

52%

Labor

$4k Vol.
$32k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
M
Mexico Legislative Election Winner

91%

Morena

$105k Vol.
$192k Liq.
Ends in 8 months
V
Victoria Parliamentary Election Winner

71%

Liberal–National

$15k Vol.
$29k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
W
What will Powell say during his speech on October 14?

Mentions · Economy

What will Powell say during his speech on October 14?

Employment / Unemployment 15+ times

$221k Vol.
$0 Liq.
72
Ended
A
August Unemployment Rate

4.1%

$46k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended