Labor Market Predictions & Odds· 116 markets

W
What will Costco say during their next earnings call?

99%

Quarter 15+ times

$9k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in about 22 hours
M
Mexico Legislative Election Winner

91%

Morena

$105k Vol.
$205k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
V
Victoria Parliamentary Election Winner

71%

Liberal–National

$15k Vol.
$30k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
M
Mexico Legislative Election: 2nd Place?

77%

PAN

$85k Vol.
$125k Liq.
7
Ends in 9 months
V
Victoria Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place

64%

One Nation

$22k Vol.
$54k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
V
Victoria Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place

50%

Party A

$4k Vol.
$27k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
J
JOLTS Job Openings: August 2026

JOLTS Job Openings: August 2026

32%

7.4M to 7.5M

$13k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 5 days
S
September Unemployment Rate

September Unemployment Rate

39%

4.1%

$21k Vol.
$25k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
W
Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?

10%

Yes

$10k Vol.
$469 Liq.
2
Ends in 5 months
H
How high will US unemployment go in 2026?

5%

5.0%

$517k Vol.
$14k Liq.
21
Ends in 6 months
P
PPI YoY - September 2026

PPI YoY - September 2026

42%

5.9%+

$14k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 22 days
U
US economic state at the end of 2026?

US economic state at the end of 2026?

67%

Overheating (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%)

$97k Vol.
$6k Liq.
7
Ends in 4 months
H
How many jobs added in September?

How many jobs added in September?

38%

50k to 100k

$11k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in 9 days
T
Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?

91%

Up

$26k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
M
MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

14%

Yes

$2.6m Vol.
$296 Liq.
135
Ends in 3 months
W
Which party will win young men in the midterms?

75%

Democrats

$3k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
Which AI labs commit to third party vetting by October 31?

27%

Google

$74k Vol.
$9k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month
S
September Inflation US - Monthly

September Inflation US - Monthly

38%

0.6%

$33k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in 21 days
S
September Inflation US - Annual

September Inflation US - Annual

46%

3.6%

$73k Vol.
$26k Liq.
Ends in 21 days
C
Core PCE MoM - August 2026

Core PCE MoM - August 2026

70%

0.3%

$19k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 6 days