Jewish History Predictions & Odds· 101 markets

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Which bills will become law in 2026?

Which bills will become law in 2026?

43%

AI-chip export licensing

$170k Vol.
$96k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
W
Will California enact a law recognizing Jews as an ethnic group by December 31?

91%

Yes

$4k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

17%

Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year)

$1.2m Vol.
$319k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
I
Israeli Legislative Election Winner

Israeli Legislative Election Winner

59%

Yashar

$452k Vol.
$469k Liq.
13
Ends in 28 days
M
MH Maccabi Tel Aviv vs. Bologna FC 1909 - More Markets

Sports · Games

MH Maccabi Tel Aviv vs. Bologna FC 1909 - More Markets

$23k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
I
Israel Election: RZP-Zehut # of seats?

Israel Election: RZP-Zehut # of seats?

41%

6-7

$8k Vol.
$44k Liq.
Ends in 28 days
I
Israel Election: Yisrael Beiteinu vote share?

38%

6-7%

$2k Vol.
$32k Liq.
Ends in 28 days
I
Israel Election: The Democrats vote share?

45%

7-8%

$554 Vol.
$547 Liq.
Ends in 28 days
W
Will an international court find Israel or its leaders guilty of Genocide by December 31, 2027?

14%

Yes

$100k Vol.
$589 Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
I
Israel Election: Yisrael Beiteinu # of seats?

38%

6-7

$3k Vol.
$35k Liq.
Ends in 28 days
I
Israel Election: Dems # of seats?

Israel Election: Dems # of seats?

23%

8-9

$3k Vol.
$40k Liq.
Ends in 28 days
I
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by...?

Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by...?

5%

Yes

$3.5m Vol.
$11k Liq.
22
Ends in 3 months
I
Israel Election: Joint List # of seats?

Israel Election: Joint List # of seats?

37%

6-7

$3k Vol.
$55k Liq.
Ends in 28 days
I
Israel Election: The Joint List vote share?

38%

6.5-7.5%

$1k Vol.
$853 Liq.
Ends in 28 days
I
Israel Election: Likud # of seats?

Israel Election: Likud # of seats?

37%

20-24

$233k Vol.
$205k Liq.
4
Ends in 28 days
I
Israel Election: Religious Zionist Party–Zehut vote share?

49%

6%+

$2k Vol.
$22k Liq.
Ends in 28 days
S
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on September 30?

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on September 30?

98%

$740

$529 Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in about 23 hours
I
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?

98%

September 30

$31.9m Vol.
$353k Liq.
🔥$94k today
300
Ends in 3 months
I
Israel Election: Amcha Yisrael # of seats?

50%

4-6

$6k Vol.
$33k Liq.
3
Ends in 28 days
I
Israel Election: Blue and White vote share?

62%

<0.75%

$2k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 28 days