Jewish History Predictions & Odds· 101 markets

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Which bills will become law in 2026?

Which bills will become law in 2026?

45%

AI-chip export licensing

$170k Vol.
$97k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
W
Will California enact a law recognizing Jews as an ethnic group by December 31?

91%

Yes

$4k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

16%

Dilution of Iran's Uranium

$1.1m Vol.
$170k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
I
Israel Election: United Torah Judaism vote share?

47%

6-7%

$2k Vol.
$21k Liq.
Ends in 29 days
I
Israel Election: UTJ # of seats?

Israel Election: UTJ # of seats?

71%

7-8

$7k Vol.
$23k Liq.
Ends in 29 days
I
Israeli Legislative Election Winner

Israeli Legislative Election Winner

59%

Yashar

$415k Vol.
$217k Liq.
13
Ends in 30 days
M
MH Maccabi Tel Aviv vs. Bologna FC 1909 - More Markets

Sports · Games

MH Maccabi Tel Aviv vs. Bologna FC 1909 - More Markets

$23k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
I
Israel ground operation in Iran confirmed by...?

9%

Yes

$1.8m Vol.
$13k Liq.
62
Ends in 3 months
I
Israel Election: RZP-Zehut # of seats?

Israel Election: RZP-Zehut # of seats?

40%

6-7

$8k Vol.
$22k Liq.
Ends in 29 days
I
Israel Election: Yisrael Beiteinu vote share?

54%

6-7%

$2k Vol.
$579 Liq.
Ends in 29 days
I
Israel Election: The Democrats vote share?

45%

7-8%

$554 Vol.
$350 Liq.
Ends in 29 days
W
Will an international court find Israel or its leaders guilty of Genocide by December 31, 2027?

14%

Yes

$100k Vol.
$945 Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
I
Israel Election: Yisrael Beiteinu # of seats?

41%

6-7

$3k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 29 days
I
Israel Election: Dems # of seats?

Israel Election: Dems # of seats?

21%

8-9

$3k Vol.
$21k Liq.
Ends in 29 days
I
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by...?

Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by...?

10%

Yes

$3.5m Vol.
$12k Liq.
22
Ends in 3 months
I
Israel Election: Joint List # of seats?

Israel Election: Joint List # of seats?

38%

8-9

$3k Vol.
$41k Liq.
Ends in 29 days
S
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on September 29?

93%

$745

$186 Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 1 day
I
Israel Election: The Joint List vote share?

31%

6.5-7.5%

$1k Vol.
$666 Liq.
Ends in 29 days
I
Israel Election: Likud # of seats?

Israel Election: Likud # of seats?

38%

20-24

$216k Vol.
$112k Liq.
4
Ends in 30 days
I
Israel Election: Religious Zionist Party–Zehut vote share?

50%

6%+

$2k Vol.
$804 Liq.
Ends in 29 days