Iran Offensive Actions Predictions & Odds· 168 markets

U
US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

98%

September 25

$2.4m Vol.
$562k Liq.
🔥$202k today
Ends in about 1 month
W
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

14%

Yes

$68.6m Vol.
$1.1m Liq.
🔥$197k today
1
Ends in 3 months
U
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?

12%

December 31

$18.1m Vol.
$468k Liq.
🔥$94k today
157
Ended
I
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?

95%

September 30

$31.4m Vol.
$369k Liq.
🔥$74k today
295
Ends in 3 months
I
Iran leadership change by...?

Iran leadership change by...?

26%

June 30, 2027

$26.1m Vol.
$778k Liq.
1,089
Ends in 9 months
W
Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?

70%

Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani

$1.0m Vol.
$204k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
I
Iran charges Hormuz fees by...?

Iran charges Hormuz fees by...?

28%

December 31

$3.1m Vol.
$82k Liq.
20
Ends in 3 months
N
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by...?

76%

December 31, 2026

$26k Vol.
$42k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

18%

1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium

$1.0m Vol.
$271k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
I
Iran full airspace closure by...?

Iran · close

Iran full airspace closure by...?

24%

December 31

$9.7m Vol.
$68k Liq.
1,015
Ends in 4 months
I
Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by...?

Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by...?

34%

October 31

$2.6m Vol.
$39k Liq.
154
Ends in about 1 month
U
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?

US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?

6%

Yes

$1.3m Vol.
$49k Liq.
8
Ends in 7 days
U
UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?

13%

Yes

$260k Vol.
$38k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Where will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place...?

43%

USA

$19k Vol.
$112k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
Uzbekistan vs. IR Iran

Sports · Games

Uzbekistan vs. IR Iran

36%

IR Iran

$8k Vol.
$174k Liq.
Ends in about 8 hours
I
Iran leader end of 2026?

Iran leader end of 2026?

85%

Mojtaba Khamenei

$39.6m Vol.
$2.1m Liq.
155
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?

3%

Yes

$22.1m Vol.
$124k Liq.
432
Ends in 3 months
T
Trump issues Iran Sanctions Executive Order by...?

25%

Yes

$12k Vol.
$351 Liq.
Ends in 7 days
W
Will Iran target the United Arab Emirates by...?

23%

October 31

$12k Vol.
$23k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
I
Iran Nuke before 2027?

Iran Nuke before 2027?

4%

Yes

$1.3m Vol.
$104k Liq.
Ends in 3 months