Interactive Business Machines Predictions & Odds· 104 markets

W
Which companies will the US take a stake in?

99%

Rigetti

$188k Vol.
$8k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
W
Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

74%

Anthropic

$1.4m Vol.
$986k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will a dLLM be the top AI model before 2027?

Will a dLLM be the top AI model before 2027?

15%

Yes

$3k Vol.
$642 Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months
O
OpenAI’s valuation end of September 2026?

66%

$900B-$1.00T

$32k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 6 days
W
Which companies will have a #1 AI model by December 31?

27%

Google

$162k Vol.
$298k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
I
ISM Services PMI - September 2026

ISM Services PMI - September 2026

27%

54.0 to 54.9

$16k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 11 days
I
ISM Manufacturing PMI - September 2026

ISM Manufacturing PMI - September 2026

28%

54.0 to 54.9

$15k Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
O
OpenAI’s valuation end of October 2026?

OpenAI’s valuation end of October 2026?

30%

$900B-$1.00T

$7k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
Which company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of September?

97%

OpenAI

$54k Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in 6 days
W
Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) end of September?

94%

Anthropic

$55k Vol.
$32k Liq.
Ends in 6 days
W
Which company has #1 AI model end of September? (Style Control On)

97%

Anthropic

$108k Vol.
$42k Liq.
Ends in 6 days
W
Will a Chinese company have a top ___ AI model by December 31?

13%

#3

$247k Vol.
$23k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
W
Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of September?

95%

Anthropic

$66k Vol.
$27k Liq.
Ends in 6 days
W
Which company has the best AI model end of September?

Which company has the best AI model end of September?

99%

Anthropic

$3.9m Vol.
$1.6m Liq.
🔥$54k today
Ends in 6 days
W
Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) end of October?

68%

Anthropic

$33k Vol.
$21k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
L
Largest private company end of September?

100%

Anthropic

$10k Vol.
$30k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
W
Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of September?

94%

Anthropic

$70k Vol.
$46k Liq.
Ends in 6 days
N
Next Sonnet Model: Text Arena Debut?

Next Sonnet Model: Text Arena Debut?

34%

1470+

$47k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
B
Best AI model on September 28?

Best AI model on September 28?

62%

Other

$2k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 5 days
W
Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by September 30?

57%

↑$975B

$84k Vol.
$26k Liq.
Ends in 7 days