Interactive Business Machines Predictions & Odds· 104 markets

W
Which companies will the US take a stake in?

99%

Rigetti

$188k Vol.
$8k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
W
Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

73%

Anthropic

$1.4m Vol.
$988k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will a dLLM be the top AI model before 2027?

Will a dLLM be the top AI model before 2027?

15%

Yes

$3k Vol.
$565 Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months
O
OpenAI’s valuation end of September 2026?

71%

$900B-$1.00T

$30k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
W
Which companies will have a #1 AI model by December 31?

27%

Google

$160k Vol.
$230k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
I
ISM Services PMI - September 2026

ISM Services PMI - September 2026

25%

53.0 to 53.9

$16k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 12 days
I
ISM Manufacturing PMI - September 2026

ISM Manufacturing PMI - September 2026

29%

54.0 to 54.9

$14k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
O
OpenAI’s valuation end of October 2026?

OpenAI’s valuation end of October 2026?

36%

$900B-$1.00T

$7k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
Which company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of September?

97%

OpenAI

$54k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
W
Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) end of September?

94%

Anthropic

$55k Vol.
$44k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
W
Which company has #1 AI model end of September? (Style Control On)

97%

Anthropic

$108k Vol.
$56k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
W
Will a Chinese company have a top ___ AI model by December 31?

13%

#3

$247k Vol.
$14k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
W
Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of September?

94%

Anthropic

$66k Vol.
$36k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
W
Which company has the best AI model end of September?

Which company has the best AI model end of September?

99%

Anthropic

$3.9m Vol.
$1.6m Liq.
🔥$148k today
Ends in 7 days
W
Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) end of October?

71%

Anthropic

$32k Vol.
$28k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
L
Largest private company end of September?

99%

Anthropic

$10k Vol.
$29k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
W
Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of September?

94%

Anthropic

$70k Vol.
$52k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
N
Next Sonnet Model: Text Arena Debut?

Next Sonnet Model: Text Arena Debut?

36%

1470+

$44k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
B
Best AI model on September 28?

Best AI model on September 28?

56%

Other

$2k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 6 days
W
Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by September 30?

33%

↑$975B

$73k Vol.
$40k Liq.
Ends in 8 days