Insolvency Predictions & Odds· 103 markets

M
Major CEX insolvent in 2026?

Major CEX insolvent in 2026?

4%

Yes

$135k Vol.
$18k Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months
S
Social Security Insolvent by...?

Social Security Insolvent by...?

17%

December 31, 2028

$909 Vol.
$3k Liq.
1
Ends in over 2 years
W
Which banks will fail by end of 2026?

Which banks will fail by end of 2026?

3%

RBC

$76k Vol.
$34k Liq.
Ends in 7 months
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

17%

≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year)

$951k Vol.
$145k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
W
What price will Cap hit in 2026?

What price will Cap hit in 2026?

49%

↓ $0.03

$17k Vol.
$801 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
H
Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

37%

December 31, 2027

$567k Vol.
$4k Liq.
38
Ends in over 1 year
M
MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

12%

Yes

$2.6m Vol.
$338 Liq.
135
Ends in 3 months
W
Which companies announce bankruptcy before 2027?

10%

SoundHound AI

$241k Vol.
$14k Liq.
22
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Wildberries announce a bankruptcy before 2027?

8%

Yes

$138k Vol.
$29k Liq.
28
Ends in 3 months
W
What price will Hyperliquid hit in 2026?

What price will Hyperliquid hit in 2026?

87%

↑ 100

$2.4m Vol.
$166k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?

3%

Yes

$203k Vol.
$4k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
W
What price will Lighter hit in 2026?

What price will Lighter hit in 2026?

66%

↑ $6

$847k Vol.
$52k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
N
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

82%

Yes

$795k Vol.
$40k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
A
Anthropic announces bankruptcy by...?

Anthropic announces bankruptcy by...?

21%

December 31, 2029

$48k Vol.
$1.1m Liq.
1
Ends in over 3 years
C
CoreWeave announces bankruptcy by...?

CoreWeave announces bankruptcy by...?

23%

December 31, 2029

$45k Vol.
$1.0m Liq.
2
Ends in over 3 years
C
Counter-Strike: Chaos Enforcers vs CUBAN CIGAR (BO3) - ESEA European Finals Playoffs

Esports · counter strike 2

Counter-Strike: Chaos Enforcers vs CUBAN CIGAR (BO3) - ESEA European Finals Playoffs

50%

Chaos Enforcers

$0 Vol.
$518 Liq.
Ends in about 22 hours
W
What will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit in 2026?

14%

Yes

$22k Vol.
$55 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
L
LoL: Bubliki vs ØTF (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D

Esports · league of legends

LoL: Bubliki vs ØTF (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D

50%

Bubliki

$217 Vol.
$620 Liq.
Ends in about 22 hours
E
EU debt downgrade before 2027?

Economy · World

EU debt downgrade before 2027?

23%

Yes

$1k Vol.
$129 Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
D
Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Team Lynx (BO3) - European Pro League Playoffs

Esports · Dota 2

Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Team Lynx (BO3) - European Pro League Playoffs

48%

Zero Tenacity

$15 Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in about 13 hours