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Initial Jobless Claims Predictions & Odds· 110 markets

AllBusinessGDPAIEmploymentInflationLayoffsJobsUnited KingdomTechUnemploymentEconomyBlsCPIRecurringBig TechMacro IndicatorsJobs ReportNFPNonfarm PayrollUnemployment InsuranceDOLInitial Jobless ClaimsLaborJOLTSJob Openings
U
US economic state at the end of 2026?

Economy·CPI

US economic state at the end of 2026?

67%

Overheating (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%)

$98k Vol.
$6k Liq.
7
Ends in 4 months
H
How high will US unemployment go in 2026?

Economy·Macro Indicators

How high will US unemployment go in 2026?

5%

5.0%

$517k Vol.
$14k Liq.
21
Ends in 6 months
J
JOLTS Job Openings: August 2026

Economy·jobs

JOLTS Job Openings: August 2026

24%

7.4M to 7.5M

$18k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 4 days
T
Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?

Tech·AI

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?

91%

Up

$26k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
U
UK Recession in 2026?

Economy·GDP

UK Recession in 2026?

13%

Yes

$15k Vol.
$2k Liq.
3
Ends in 7 months
H
How many jobs added in September?

Economy·NFP

How many jobs added in September?

39%

50k to 100k

$11k Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
W
Will weekly jobless initial claims exceed 215k for the week ending September 24?

All

Will weekly jobless initial claims exceed 215k for the week ending September 24?

$3k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
W
Will weekly jobless initial claims exceed 190k for the week ending October 1?

All

Will weekly jobless initial claims exceed 190k for the week ending October 1?

$674 Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
W
Will weekly jobless initial claims exceed 213k for the week ending on September 10?

All

Will weekly jobless initial claims exceed 213k for the week ending on September 10?

$13k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
W
Will weekly jobless initial claims exceed 205k for the week ending on September 17?

All

Will weekly jobless initial claims exceed 205k for the week ending on September 17?

$18k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
W
Will weekly jobless initial claims exceed 220k for the week ending October 8?

All

Will weekly jobless initial claims exceed 220k for the week ending October 8?

$247 Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
H
How many jobless claims during the week ending Feb 28?

Economy·Macro Indicators

How many jobless claims during the week ending Feb 28?

210k-220k

$195 Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
H
How many jobless claims during the week ending Feb 21?

Economy·DOL

How many jobless claims during the week ending Feb 21?

210k-220k

$2k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
H
How many jobless claims during the week ending Feb 14?

Economy·Unemployment Insurance

How many jobless claims during the week ending Feb 14?

200k-210k

$17k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
H
How many jobless claims during the week ending Feb 7?

Economy·unemployment

How many jobless claims during the week ending Feb 7?

220k-230k

$11k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
W
Will weekly jobless claims exceed 260K for the week ending on November 27?

All

Will weekly jobless claims exceed 260K for the week ending on November 27?

$7k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
W
Will weekly jobless claims exceed 255k for the week ending on July 23?

All

Will weekly jobless claims exceed 255k for the week ending on July 23?

$5k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
W
Will weekly jobless claims exceed 265k for the week ending on August 13?

All

Will weekly jobless claims exceed 265k for the week ending on August 13?

$24k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
W
Will weekly jobless claims exceed 310K for the week ending on September 11?

All

Will weekly jobless claims exceed 310K for the week ending on September 11?

$19k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
W
Will weekly jobless claims exceed 364K for the week ending on July 3?

All

Will weekly jobless claims exceed 364K for the week ending on July 3?

$3k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

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