Identity Verification Predictions & Odds· 106 markets

S
Satoshi's identity be proven by...?

Satoshi's identity be proven by...?

2%

Yes

$2.0m Vol.
$22k Liq.
20
Ends in 3 months
E
Esports Awards: Mobile Game of the Year

Sports · Esports

Esports Awards: Mobile Game of the Year

52%

PUBG Mobile

$38k Vol.
$5k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Hyperliquid introduce KYC by ___?

Will Hyperliquid introduce KYC by ___?

46%

December 31, 2027

$6k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
"
"I beat Bush" Epstein Email Sender confirmed as ___ ?

78%

Not revealed in 2026

$17k Vol.
$43k Liq.
5
Ends in 3 months
O
OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

87%

October 31

$12k Vol.
$2k Liq.
3
Ends in about 1 month
W
Which AI labs commit to third party vetting by October 31?

30%

Google

$65k Vol.
$62k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month
S
SSI announces it has achieved SSI by December 31?

16%

Yes

$4k Vol.
$215 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
What will Trump post this week? (September 21 - September 27)

93%

President Xi

$3k Vol.
$369 Liq.
Ends in 5 days
W
Who will post about $LAPTOP by September 30?

6%

Eric Trump

$67k Vol.
$18k Liq.
4
Ends in 8 days
A
Anthropic reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

Anthropic reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

48%

October 31

$4k Vol.
$1k Liq.
1
Ends in about 1 month
W
Which company has the best Image-to-Video AI end of September?

92%

MiniMax

$13k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
W
Which company has the best Image-to-Video AI end of October?

50%

Other

$12k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

19%

Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year)

$967k Vol.
$146k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
L
LAPTOP airdrop to $TRUMP holders by ___?

LAPTOP airdrop to $TRUMP holders by ___?

10%

Yes

$11k Vol.
$291 Liq.
2
Ends in 8 days
W
Will ropz Get Pulled Over Again in 2026?

CS2 · Sports

Will ropz Get Pulled Over Again in 2026?

11%

Yes

$347 Vol.
$131 Liq.
Ends in 4 months
M
MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

14%

Yes

$2.6m Vol.
$310 Liq.
135
Ends in 3 months
W
When will Satoshi's identity be proven?

Not proven in 2024

$687k Vol.
$0 Liq.
23
Ended
S
Shooter identity released by tonight?

No

$51k Vol.
$0 Liq.
37
Ended
W
What will be the top global Netflix movie this week?

The Woman in Cabin 10

$156k Vol.
$0 Liq.
9
Ended
T
Trump's mail-in voting executive order blocked in April?

No

$5k Vol.
$0 Liq.
3
Ended