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Hamas Predictions & Odds· 260 markets

AllPoliticsGazaIranWarInternational RelationsPeace AgreementsTrumpHamasMiddle EastIsraelMilitaryHostagesConflict ResolutionCeasefireLeadershipConflictPeaceHospitalsYahya SinwarMilitary StrategyGlobal PoliticsHostage DealRamadanGeopoliticsTrump PresidencyForeign PolicyWorldGlobalTrump NetanyahuIsrael X Iran
W
Will Hamas agree to disarm by...?

Geopolitics·Gaza

Will Hamas agree to disarm by...?

22%

Yes

$3.8m Vol.
$31k Liq.
369
Ends in 3 months
I
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by...?

Politics·Gaza

Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by...?

19%

December 31

$2.9m Vol.
$11k Liq.
357
Ends in 3 months
I
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...?

World·Middle East

Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...?

18%

December 31

$4.1m Vol.
$11k Liq.
979
Ends in 3 months
I
Israel ground operation in Iran confirmed by...?

Geopolitics·Israel

Israel ground operation in Iran confirmed by...?

14%

Yes

$1.7m Vol.
$13k Liq.
62
Ended
I
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?

Politics·Gaza

Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?

No

$5.3m Vol.
$0 Liq.
11,927
Ended
W
Will Hamas surrender in 2023?

Politics·All

Will Hamas surrender in 2023?

No

$110k Vol.
$0 Liq.
8
Ended
I
Israel + Hamas hostage deal by Ramadan?

Politics·All

Israel + Hamas hostage deal by Ramadan?

No

$39k Vol.
$0 Liq.
5
Ended
I
Israel and Hamas ceasefire by Nov 30?

Politics·All

Israel and Hamas ceasefire by Nov 30?

Yes

$149k Vol.
$0 Liq.
23
Ended
A
Any Hamas leader out in January?

Politics·All

Any Hamas leader out in January?

No

$4k Vol.
$0 Liq.
9
Ended
I
Israel and Hamas ceasefire by Oct 31?

All

Israel and Hamas ceasefire by Oct 31?

No

$137k Vol.
$0 Liq.
23
Ended
A
Another Israel x Hamas ceasefire before February?

Politics·All

Another Israel x Hamas ceasefire before February?

No

$123k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
W
Will Hamas release 12+ hostages in a single day by EoY?

Politics·All

Will Hamas release 12+ hostages in a single day by EoY?

No

$9k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
H
Hamas command center under al-Shifa Hospital?

Politics·All

Hamas command center under al-Shifa Hospital?

Yes

$33k Vol.
$0 Liq.
5
Ended
Y
Yahya Sinwar still Hamas leader through March 1?

Politics·All

Yahya Sinwar still Hamas leader through March 1?

Yes

$17k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
I
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by Monday?

All

Israel x Hamas ceasefire by Monday?

No

$28k Vol.
$0 Liq.
2
Ended
W
Will the Hamas x Israel ceasefire last the full 4 days?

Politics·All

Will the Hamas x Israel ceasefire last the full 4 days?

Yes

$35k Vol.
$0 Liq.
7
Ended
W
Will Israel start flooding Hamas tunnels by December 15?

Politics·All

Will Israel start flooding Hamas tunnels by December 15?

Yes

$34k Vol.
$0 Liq.
7
Ended
W
Will Hamas release more hostages by November 30?

Politics·All

Will Hamas release more hostages by November 30?

Yes

$16k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
W
Will the Hamas x Israel ceasefire last 8 days?

Politics·All

Will the Hamas x Israel ceasefire last 8 days?

No

$30k Vol.
$0 Liq.
1
Ended
W
Will Hamas release 20+ hostages in a single day by Nov 30?

Politics·All

Will Hamas release 20+ hostages in a single day by Nov 30?

Yes

$60k Vol.
$0 Liq.
7
Ended

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