Funding Bill Predictions & Odds· 140 markets

W
Will the US Senate pass at least $20 billion in supplemental War Funding by September 30?

3%

Yes

$1k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 3 days
W
Will the US House pass a bill restricting military aid to Israel by September 30?

3%

Yes

$2k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 3 days
S
Senate passes Clarity Act by...?

Senate passes Clarity Act by...?

2%

October 9

$49k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
Which bills will become law in 2026?

Which bills will become law in 2026?

41%

AI-chip export licensing

$170k Vol.
$70k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
W
Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?

12%

Raphael Warnock

$208k Vol.
$68k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
C
Crypto Market Structure legislation becomes law in 2026?

8%

Yes

$26k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Trump create a $5,000 dividend by March 31, 2027?

4%

Yes

$10k Vol.
$20k Liq.
3
Ends in 6 months
F
Federal Appropriations Lapse on October 1?

1%

Yes

$3k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 4 days
U
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?

12%

Yes

$173k Vol.
$25k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will the Senate pass funding bill by...?

September 30

$25k Vol.
$0 Liq.
3
Ended
S
Senate Democratic votes for government funding bill?

>10

$102k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
W
When will Congress pass the next funding bill?

No Bill passed by Jan 31

$627k Vol.
$0 Liq.
18
Ended
W
Will Congress pass a funding bill by...?

January 25

$74k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
W
What will Trump say during Funding Bill Signing tonight?

Tax 3+ times

$120k Vol.
$0 Liq.
16
Ended
W
Will the House vote on a government funding bill today?

Yes

$134k Vol.
$0 Liq.
1
Ended
W
Which chamber will move first on a funding bill?

Senate

$27k Vol.
$0 Liq.
2
Ended
H
How many U.S. senators vote "Yea" on the next funding bill by October 31?

No vote by October 31

$178k Vol.
$0 Liq.
7
Ended