Fourth Predictions & Odds· 104 markets

R
Russia Parliamentary Election: 4th Place

96%

New People (NL)

$28k Vol.
$67k Liq.
1
Ended
B
Berlin State Election: 4th Place

99%

Grüne

$42k Vol.
$95k Liq.
Ended
W
Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

73%

1

$3.5m Vol.
$289k Liq.
27
Ends in 3 months
M
MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

14%

Yes

$2.6m Vol.
$332 Liq.
135
Ends in 3 months
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

18%

≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year)

$946k Vol.
$246k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
A
Amazon 2026 capex above ___?

Amazon 2026 capex above ___?

99%

$170 billion

$24k Vol.
$5k Liq.
1
Ends in 7 months
S
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14

96%

October 31

$705k Vol.
$21k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
M
MS-04 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)

50%

Person A

$3k Vol.
$35k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
G
GA-04 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)

50%

Person A

$3k Vol.
$61k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
L
LoL: Pyramid IV Esports vs Lodis (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group A

Esports · league of legends

LoL: Pyramid IV Esports vs Lodis (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group A

15%

Pyramid IV Esports

$835 Vol.
$23k Liq.
Ends in about 16 hours
C
Counter-Strike: Regnum4Games vs Sissi State Punks (BO3) - DACH CS Masters Regular Season

Esports · counter strike 2

Counter-Strike: Regnum4Games vs Sissi State Punks (BO3) - DACH CS Masters Regular Season

45%

Regnum4Games

$0 Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in about 16 hours
H
Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

38%

December 31, 2027

$564k Vol.
$5k Liq.
38
Ends in over 1 year
B
Bundesliga Top 4 Finishers (2026-27)

Soccer · Sports

Bundesliga Top 4 Finishers (2026-27)

98%

Bayern Munich

$8k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 8 months
L
LoL: Pyramid IV Esports vs Disruptors (BO5) - Arabian League Play-Ins

Esports · league of legends

LoL: Pyramid IV Esports vs Disruptors (BO5) - Arabian League Play-Ins

$3k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
W
Who will post about $LAPTOP by September 30?

6%

Eric Trump

$65k Vol.
$17k Liq.
4
Ends in 10 days
Z
Zelenskyy # posts September 15 - September 22, 2026?

71%

80-99

$4k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 1 day
Z
Zelenskyy # posts September 22 - September 29, 2026?

37%

60-79

$2k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
W
What will Silver (XAGUSD) hit in September 2026?

63%

↑ $68

$126k Vol.
$296k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
C
China Annual GDP Growth 2026

China Annual GDP Growth 2026

91%

4.0–5.0%

$910k Vol.
$94k Liq.
17
Ends in 4 months
S
Serie A Top 4 Finishers (2026-27)

Soccer · Sports

Serie A Top 4 Finishers (2026-27)

94%

Inter Milan

$27k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 8 months