Fourth Quarter Predictions & Odds· 102 markets

W
Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

75%

1

$3.5m Vol.
$220k Liq.
27
Ends in 5 months
R
Russia Parliamentary Election: 4th Place

100%

New People (NL)

$31k Vol.
$23k Liq.
1
Ended
C
China Annual GDP Growth 2026

China Annual GDP Growth 2026

91%

4.0–5.0%

$911k Vol.
$84k Liq.
17
Ends in 4 months
A
Amazon 2026 capex above ___?

Amazon 2026 capex above ___?

99%

$170 billion

$24k Vol.
$5k Liq.
1
Ends in 7 months
E
Eurozone Annual GDP Growth 2026

Eurozone Annual GDP Growth 2026

49%

0-1.0%

$54k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in 4 months
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

19%

Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year)

$967k Vol.
$147k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
M
MS-04 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)

50%

Person A

$4k Vol.
$78k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
G
GA-04 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)

50%

Person A

$3k Vol.
$60k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
U
US recession by end of 2026?

US recession by end of 2026?

9%

Yes

$2.1m Vol.
$85k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
UK Recession in 2026?

UK Recession in 2026?

4%

Yes

$13k Vol.
$4k Liq.
3
Ends in 7 months
B
Bundesliga Top 4 Finishers (2026-27)

Soccer · Sports

Bundesliga Top 4 Finishers (2026-27)

96%

Bayern Munich

$9k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
F
First Round Outright Winner in the LA-04 House Election?

96%

Yes

$727 Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 6 months
W
WA-04 House Election Margin of Victory

WA-04 House Election Margin of Victory

50%

Person A

$0 Vol.
$615 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
J
Japan recession in 2026?

Japan recession in 2026?

4%

Yes

$4k Vol.
$133 Liq.
1
Ends in 7 months
U
US recession by end of 2027?

US recession by end of 2027?

34%

Yes

$10k Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
S
SC-04 House Election Margin of Victory

50%

Person A

$7k Vol.
$38k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
U
UK Annual GDP Growth 2026

UK Annual GDP Growth 2026

90%

1-2%

$93k Vol.
$11k Liq.
1
Ends in 5 months
T
TX-04 House Election Margin of Victory

50%

Person A

$6k Vol.
$45k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
I
IA-04 House Election Winner

IA-04 House Election Winner

95%

Chris McGowan (R)

$41k Vol.
$64k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
I
IN-04 House Election Winner

IN-04 House Election Winner

95%

Jim Baird (R)

$15k Vol.
$46k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month