Fivethiryeight Predictions & Odds· 100 markets

H
How many 5.5 or above earthquakes worldwide September 14 - September 20?

81%

≤6

$36k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in about 11 hours
5
5kt meteor strike in 2026?

5kt meteor strike in 2026?

27%

Yes

$314k Vol.
$705 Liq.
Ends in 5 months
H
How many 5.5 or above earthquakes worldwide September 21 - September 27?

31%

≤6

$809 Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
U
US economic state at the end of 2026?

US economic state at the end of 2026?

76%

Overheating (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%)

$89k Vol.
$10k Liq.
7
Ends in 4 months
F
Fantasy Football: 2026-27 Top 5 Scoring D/STs

NFL (All) · Sports

Fantasy Football: 2026-27 Top 5 Scoring D/STs

50%

Broncos D/ST

$0 Vol.
$6 Liq.
Ends in 4 months
N
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by...?

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by...?

91%

December 31

$27k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?

4%

Yes

$142k Vol.
$1k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
C
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Vitality (BO5) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs

Esports · counter strike 2

Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Vitality (BO5) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs

43%

Aurora Gaming

$1.9m Vol.
$1.5m Liq.
🔥$2.0m today
Ends in about 4 hours
F
Fantasy Football: 2026-27 Top 5 Scoring FLEX

NFL (All) · Sports

Fantasy Football: 2026-27 Top 5 Scoring FLEX

51%

Jaxon Smith-Njigba

$0 Vol.
$96 Liq.
Ends in 4 months
R
Rainbow Six Siege: Five Fears vs 100 Thieves (BO1) - North America League Stage 2 Group Stage

52%

Five Fears

$0 Vol.
$739 Liq.
Ends in 4 days
W
What floor price will Pudgy Penguins hit before 2027?

17%

↓ 2 ETH

$4k Vol.
$403 Liq.
5
Ends in 3 months
F
Fantasy Football: 2026-27 Top 5 Scoring TEs

NFL (All) · Sports

Fantasy Football: 2026-27 Top 5 Scoring TEs

51%

Theo Johnson

$0 Vol.
$81 Liq.
Ends in 4 months
R
Rainbow Six Siege: LOS vs Lucky Five (BO1) - South America League Stage 2 Group Stage

Esports · Rainbow Six Siege

Rainbow Six Siege: LOS vs Lucky Five (BO1) - South America League Stage 2 Group Stage

50%

LOS

$587 Vol.
$193 Liq.
Ends in about 6 hours
H
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 5, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET

Down

$0 Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
H
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 5, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET

Down

$0 Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
N
Next Claude Opus Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?

96%

45%+

$24k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
S
Seltzers with 5mg THC legal on…?

Seltzers with 5mg THC legal on…?

93%

November 13, 2026

$4k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 6 months
W
What will Trump post this week? (September 21 - September 27)

96%

China

$2k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 7 days