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Fdic Predictions & Odds· 100 markets

AllSportsPoliticsCryptoEsportsBusinessFinanceTrumpFederal ReserveFedUnited StatesBitcoinBanking IndustryCrypto PricesFed RatesBanksEconomyDerivativesFOMCGamesCounter Strike 2JpowRecurringEconomic PolicyMacro IndicatorsHit PriceYearlyFeesGlobal RatesVolatilityVolmexRateFed ChairKevin WarshFomo.FamilyCPI Release
U
US bank failure by December 31, 2026?

Economy·banks

US bank failure by December 31, 2026?

54%

Yes

$3k Vol.
$942 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
M
Major U.S. bank bailout before 2027?

Economy·Recurring

Major U.S. bank bailout before 2027?

5%

Yes

$4k Vol.
$778 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
F
Fed Decision in October?

Economy·Fed

Fed Decision in October?

67%

25 bps increase

$12.9m Vol.
$2.3m Liq.
🔥$1.6m today
Ends in about 1 month
F
Fed Decision in December?

Economy·Fed

Fed Decision in December?

72%

25 bps increase

$1.3m Vol.
$820k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
F
Fed Decision in January?

Economy·Fed

Fed Decision in January?

56%

No change

$116k Vol.
$422k Liq.
Ends in 4 months
W
Which banks will fail by end of 2026?

Finance·Business

Which banks will fail by end of 2026?

3%

Deutsche Bank

$76k Vol.
$33k Liq.
Ends in 7 months
W
What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

Politics·Fed Rates

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

51%

≥ 4.5%

$6.9m Vol.
$456k Liq.
5
Ends in 3 months
W
What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

Economy·Fed Rates

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

90%

↑ 4.25%

$1.9m Vol.
$376k Liq.
13
Ends in 3 months
F
Fed rate cut by...?

Finance·Fed

Fed rate cut by...?

48%

July 2027 Meeting

$3.7m Vol.
$167k Liq.
31
Ends in over 1 year
H
How many dissent at the January Fed meeting?

Fed · jpow

How many dissent at the January Fed meeting?

45%

0

$19k Vol.
$32k Liq.
Ends in 4 months
H
How many dissent at the October Fed meeting?

Fed · jpow

How many dissent at the October Fed meeting?

44%

0

$7k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
C
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Iberian Soul (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 5: Closed Qualifier Playoffs

Esports · counter strike 2

Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Iberian Soul (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 5: Closed Qualifier Playoffs

62%

fnatic

$0 Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 1 day
H
How many dissent at the December Fed meeting?

Fed · jpow

How many dissent at the December Fed meeting?

40%

0

$20k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2027?

Politics·Fed

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2027?

28%

4.75%

$2k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
C
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs fnatic (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat II Playoffs

Esports · counter strike 2

Counter-Strike: Heroic vs fnatic (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat II Playoffs

67%

Heroic

$0 Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in about 17 hours
F
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?

Finance·Business

Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?

2%

Yes

$238k Vol.
$20k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
What will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit in 2026?

Crypto·Bitcoin

What will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit in 2026?

10%

Yes

$22k Vol.
$332 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will fomo fees hit ___ in 2026?

Crypto·Fees

Will fomo fees hit ___ in 2026?

88%

$75M

$735 Vol.
$350 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
N
No change or Hike 25 bps favored on October 27?

Economy·Fed

No change or Hike 25 bps favored on October 27?

29%

No change

$0 Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
H
How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?

Fed · Rate

How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?

49%

2 (50 bps)

$675k Vol.
$244k Liq.
Ends in 3 months

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