Fdic Predictions & Odds· 100 markets

U
US bank failure by December 31, 2026?

US bank failure by December 31, 2026?

55%

Yes

$3k Vol.
$825 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
M
Major U.S. bank bailout before 2027?

Major U.S. bank bailout before 2027?

5%

Yes

$4k Vol.
$778 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
F
Fed Decision in October?

Fed Decision in October?

63%

25 bps increase

$12.3m Vol.
$1.8m Liq.
🔥$1.9m today
Ends in about 1 month
F
Fed Decision in December?

Fed Decision in December?

72%

25 bps increase

$1.3m Vol.
$790k Liq.
🔥$53k today
Ends in 3 months
F
Fed Decision in January?

Fed Decision in January?

56%

No change

$115k Vol.
$408k Liq.
Ends in 4 months
W
Which banks will fail by end of 2026?

Which banks will fail by end of 2026?

3%

RBC

$76k Vol.
$33k Liq.
Ends in 7 months
W
What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

51%

≥ 4.5%

$6.9m Vol.
$428k Liq.
5
Ends in 3 months
W
What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

90%

↑ 4.25%

$1.9m Vol.
$168k Liq.
13
Ends in 3 months
F
Fed rate cut by...?

Fed rate cut by...?

49%

July 2027 Meeting

$3.7m Vol.
$168k Liq.
31
Ends in over 1 year
H
How many dissent at the January Fed meeting?

Fed · jpow

How many dissent at the January Fed meeting?

43%

0

$19k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in 4 months
H
How many dissent at the October Fed meeting?

Fed · jpow

How many dissent at the October Fed meeting?

44%

0

$7k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
H
How many dissent at the December Fed meeting?

Fed · jpow

How many dissent at the December Fed meeting?

40%

0

$20k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2027?

16%

5.75%

$1k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
F
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?

Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?

2%

Yes

$238k Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
What will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit in 2026?

12%

Yes

$22k Vol.
$298 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
H
How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?

Fed · Rate

How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?

46%

2 (50 bps)

$664k Vol.
$115k Liq.
🔥$58k today
Ends in 3 months
S
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on September 25?

92%

$750

$235 Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 1 day
W
Will fomo fees hit ___ in 2026?

Will fomo fees hit ___ in 2026?

88%

$75M

$735 Vol.
$383 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
A
Another Fed rate hike in 2026?

Another Fed rate hike in 2026?

92%

Yes

$167k Vol.
$182k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
C
Counter-Strike: BIG vs fnatic (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs

Esports · counter strike 2

Counter-Strike: BIG vs fnatic (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs

59%

BIG

$8 Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in 7 days