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E
Etna eruption with VEI 2+ in 2026?

Weather·Erupt

Etna eruption with VEI 2+ in 2026?

11%

Yes

$21 Vol.
$49 Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
V
Vesuvius eruption with 1+ VEI in 2026?

Weather·Science

Vesuvius eruption with 1+ VEI in 2026?

7%

Yes

$660 Vol.
$15 Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months
M
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?

Weather·Science

Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?

7%

Yes

$147k Vol.
$8k Liq.
9
Ends in 6 months
H
How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?

Climate & Science·Earthquakes

How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?

45%

1

$1.2m Vol.
$6k Liq.
8
Ends in 6 months
N
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

World·20 (50) daily

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

83%

Yes

$796k Vol.
$39k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
M
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?

Climate & Science·Recurring

Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?

8%

Yes

$207k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 5 months
1
100kt meteor strike in 2026?

Climate & Science·Space

100kt meteor strike in 2026?

4%

Yes

$9k Vol.
$4k Liq.
4
Ends in 5 months
5
5kt meteor strike in 2026?

Climate & Science·Recurring

5kt meteor strike in 2026?

26%

Yes

$314k Vol.
$720 Liq.
Ends in 5 months
N
Natural Disaster in 2026?

Weather·Parlays

Natural Disaster in 2026?

17%

Yes

$247k Vol.
$1k Liq.
17
Ends in 5 months
W
What will Trump post this week? (September 21 - September 27)

Mentions·Trump

What will Trump post this week? (September 21 - September 27)

93%

President Xi

$3k Vol.
$241 Liq.
Ends in 5 days
1
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?

Weather·SpaceX

1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?

1%

Yes

$117k Vol.
$4k Liq.
5
Ends in 5 months
H
How many 5.5 or above earthquakes worldwide September 21 - September 27?

Weather·climate

How many 5.5 or above earthquakes worldwide September 21 - September 27?

58%

≤6

$5k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in 5 days
W
What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (September 21 - September 27)

Culture·Recurring

What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (September 21 - September 27)

100%

Iran

$7k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 5 days
H
How many 6.5 or above earthquakes worldwide September 21 - September 27?

Weather·climate

How many 6.5 or above earthquakes worldwide September 21 - September 27?

55%

0

$3k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 5 days
S
September 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

Weather·climate

September 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

48%

1.35–1.39ºC

$2k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
C
Criminal charges in Pfizer building structural failure by December 31?

New York · Manhattan

Criminal charges in Pfizer building structural failure by December 31?

25%

Yes

$4k Vol.
$120 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
H
How strong of an earthquake will occur worldwide by September 30?

Weather·climate

How strong of an earthquake will occur worldwide by September 30?

100%

6.5+

$15k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
I
Iceland volcanic eruption by Nov 30?

All · iceland

Iceland volcanic eruption by Nov 30?

No

$71k Vol.
$0 Liq.
18
Ended
I
Iceland volcanic eruption by Nov 15?

All · iceland

Iceland volcanic eruption by Nov 15?

No

$48k Vol.
$0 Liq.
3
Ended
I
Iceland volcanic eruption by Dec 31?

All · iceland

Iceland volcanic eruption by Dec 31?

Yes

$11k Vol.
$0 Liq.
1
Ended

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