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Erupt Predictions & Odds· 120 markets

M

Weather·volcanoes

Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?

7%

Yes

$147k Vol.

$12k Liq.

9

Ends in 6 months

H

Climate & Science·Natural Disasters

How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?

47%

1

$1.2m Vol.

$7k Liq.

8

Ends in 6 months

E

Etna eruption with VEI 2+ in 2026?

11%

Yes

$21 Vol.

$49 Liq.

1

Ends in 3 months

V

Weather·Science

Vesuvius eruption with 1+ VEI in 2026?

7%

Yes

$660 Vol.

$14 Liq.

4

Ends in 3 months

M

Climate & Science·Recurring

Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?

8%

Yes

$207k Vol.

$3k Liq.

Ends in 5 months

W

Culture·Recurring

What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (September 21 - September 27)

61%

Vote / Voter / Votes

$7k Vol.

$728 Liq.

Ends in 4 days

W

What will Elon post this week? (September 21 - September 27)

73%

Border

$5k Vol.

$405 Liq.

Ends in 4 days

1

Climate & Science·Space

100kt meteor strike in 2026?

4%

Yes

$9k Vol.

$4k Liq.

4

Ends in 5 months

N

Weather·Parlays

Natural Disaster in 2026?

17%

Yes

$247k Vol.

$1k Liq.

17

Ends in 5 months

W

Mentions·Trump

What will Trump post this week? (September 21 - September 27)

93%

President Xi

$3k Vol.

$245 Liq.

Ends in 4 days

5

Climate & Science·Recurring

5kt meteor strike in 2026?

24%

Yes

$314k Vol.

$686 Liq.

Ends in 5 months

H

Weather·climate

How many 6.5 or above earthquakes worldwide September 21 - September 27?

59%

0

$4k Vol.

$9k Liq.

Ends in 4 days

W

Crypto·hyperliquid

Will Elon Musk tweet "Hyperliquid" by ___?

12%

December 31, 2026

$65k Vol.

$7k Liq.

1

Ends in 3 months

J

JOLTS Job Openings: August 2026

30%

7.1M to 7.2M

$12k Vol.

$6k Liq.

Ends in 6 days

1

Weather·SpaceX

1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?

1%

Yes

$117k Vol.

$4k Liq.

5

Ends in 5 months

I

All · iceland

Iceland volcanic eruption by Nov 30?

No

$71k Vol.

$0 Liq.

18

Ended

I

All · iceland

Iceland volcanic eruption by Nov 15?

No

$48k Vol.

$0 Liq.

3

Ended

I

All · iceland

Iceland volcanic eruption by Dec 31?

Yes

$11k Vol.

$0 Liq.

1

Ended

I

All · iceland

Iceland volcanic eruption by Nov 17?

No

$4k Vol.

$0 Liq.

1

Ended

C

Esports · counter strike 2

Counter-Strike: Eruption vs Just Swing (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Asia Cup #3 Playoffs

$421 Vol.

$0 Liq.

Ended

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Popular Erupt Predictions

Etna eruption with VEI 2+ in 2026?Vesuvius eruption with 1+ VEI in 2026?

New Erupt Predictions

Vesuvius eruption with 1+ VEI in 2026?Etna eruption with VEI 2+ in 2026?