Employment Predictions & Odds· 153 markets

H
How many jobs added in September?

How many jobs added in September?

30%

50k to 100k

$17k Vol.
$16k Liq.
Ends in 5 days
S
September Unemployment Rate

September Unemployment Rate

46%

4.1%

$25k Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in 4 days
W
Will Jerome Powell join an AI company in 2026?

Will Jerome Powell join an AI company in 2026?

7%

Yes

$453 Vol.
$537 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
H
How high will US unemployment go in 2026?

4%

7.0%

$523k Vol.
$15k Liq.
21
Ends in 6 months
J
JOLTS Job Openings: August 2026

JOLTS Job Openings: August 2026

20%

7.3M to 7.4M

$24k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 1 day
J
José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero sentenced to prison?

5%

Yes

$69k Vol.
$12k Liq.
22
Ends in 3 months
U
US economic state at the end of 2026?

US economic state at the end of 2026?

70%

Overheating (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%)

$99k Vol.
$5k Liq.
7
Ends in 4 months
J
James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026?

James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026?

1%

Yes

$170k Vol.
$31k Liq.
23
Ends in 3 months
C
Clavicular sentenced to prison by...?

Clavicular sentenced to prison by...?

11%

December 31, 2027

$96k Vol.
$7k Liq.
16
Ends in 3 months
P
Prince Andrew sentenced to prison?

Prince Andrew sentenced to prison?

2%

Yes

$223k Vol.
$10k Liq.
35
Ends in 3 months
E
Eurozone Annual GDP Growth 2026

Eurozone Annual GDP Growth 2026

47%

0-1.0%

$54k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 4 months
D
Don Lemon sentenced to prison?

Politics · Culture

Don Lemon sentenced to prison?

5%

Yes

$7k Vol.
$2k Liq.
3
W
Will Ari Weinstein leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026?

26%

Yes

$13k Vol.
$273 Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months
W
What will JD Vance say during remarks in Milwaukee?

Wisconsin 5+ times

$12k Vol.
$0 Liq.
1
Ended
W
What will Kevin Warsh say during June Press Conference?

Rate / Cut

$178k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
W
What will Kevin Warsh say during his Swearing-In?

America / American 2+ times

$14k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
W
What will Powell say during December Press Conference?

Inflation 40+ times

$1.1m Vol.
$879 Liq.
202
Ended
W
What will Powell say during his speech on October 14?

Mentions · Economy

What will Powell say during his speech on October 14?

Employment / Unemployment 15+ times

$221k Vol.
$0 Liq.
72
Ended
W
What will Powell say during October Press Conference?

Inflation 40+ times

$813k Vol.
$0 Liq.
347
Ended
W
What will Powell say during his speech at Jackson Hole on August 22?

Inflation 50+ times

$275k Vol.
$0 Liq.
74
Ended