Employment Rate Predictions & Odds· 115 markets

S
September Unemployment Rate

September Unemployment Rate

44%

4.1%

$25k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in 5 days
U
US economic state at the end of 2026?

US economic state at the end of 2026?

70%

Overheating (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%)

$99k Vol.
$4k Liq.
7
Ends in 4 months
W
Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?

9%

Yes

$10k Vol.
$360 Liq.
2
Ends in 5 months
H
How high will US unemployment go in 2026?

4%

7.0%

$523k Vol.
$13k Liq.
21
Ends in 6 months
H
How many jobs added in September?

How many jobs added in September?

28%

50k to 100k

$16k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in 5 days
T
Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?

91%

Up

$26k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
J
JOLTS Job Openings: August 2026

JOLTS Job Openings: August 2026

25%

7.3M to 7.4M

$24k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 1 day
E
Eurozone Annual GDP Growth 2026

Eurozone Annual GDP Growth 2026

47%

0-1.0%

$54k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 4 months
W
What will Kevin Warsh say during June Press Conference?

Rate / Cut

$178k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
W
What will Kevin Warsh say during his Swearing-In?

America / American 2+ times

$14k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
W
What will Powell say during his speech on October 14?

Mentions · Economy

What will Powell say during his speech on October 14?

Employment / Unemployment 15+ times

$221k Vol.
$0 Liq.
72
Ended
W
What will Powell say during his speech at Jackson Hole on August 22?

Inflation 50+ times

$275k Vol.
$0 Liq.
74
Ended
U
Unemployment rate over 4.2% in August?

No

$18k Vol.
$0 Liq.
6
Ended
U
Unemployment rate over 4.1% in October?

No

$517k Vol.
$0 Liq.
8
Ended
U
Unemployment rate over 4.2% in September?

No

$16k Vol.
$0 Liq.
11
Ended
S
Sept-Nov Unemployment Rate - U.K.

5.1%

$6k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
W
$20k Vol.
$0 Liq.
J
January 2026 Unemployment Rate - Japan

≥2.7%

$431k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
J
January Unemployment Rate

≤4.0%

$48k Vol.
$0 Liq.
45
Ended
S
September Unemployment Rate

4.3%

$347k Vol.
$0 Liq.
23
Ended