Electoral Votes Politics Predictions & Odds· 106 markets

W
Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?

98%

Yes

$14k Vol.
$12k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month
W
Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?

Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?

65%

Democratic

$2.4m Vol.
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94
Ends in about 2 years
I
Israel Election: The Democrats vote share?

39%

7-8%

$554 Vol.
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Ends in 28 days
N
NZ Election: Popular Vote Margin of Victory?

32%

National 0-5%

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Ends in about 1 month
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

18%

Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year)

$1.2m Vol.
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8
Ends in 3 months
2
2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory

46%

Other

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Ends in about 1 month
R
Republicans flip Democrats for Senate by November 2?

14%

Yes

$6k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
B
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Turnout

42%

76-78%

$2k Vol.
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Ends in 5 days
P
Presidential Election Winner 2028

Presidential Election Winner 2028

21%

JD Vance

$710.0m Vol.
$60.0m Liq.
🔥$223k today
1,037
Ends in about 2 years
W
Will Reps lose Senate Seat in any Trump+10 State and win in a Kamala State?

47%

Yes

$100 Vol.
$21k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
I
Israel Election: Blue and White vote share?

63%

<0.75%

$2k Vol.
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Ends in 28 days
D
Democratic nomination odds leader on October 31?

50%

Person A

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S
Senate control favorite on November 2?

Senate control favorite on November 2?

87%

Democratic Party

$784 Vol.
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Ends in about 1 month
B
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory

59%

Lula da Silva <5%

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17
Ends in 5 days
N
NZ election: Labour v National (% of Party List Vote)

59%

Labour

$200 Vol.
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1
Ends in about 1 month
W
Will any US Federal or Statewide Midterm Election be within 0.01%?

24%

Yes

$139 Vol.
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Ends in about 1 month
I
Israel Election: Unity vote share?

Israel Election: Unity vote share?

99%

<0.5%

$2k Vol.
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4
Ends in 28 days
B
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Flávio Bolsonaro Vote Share? (Higher Strikes)

35%

39-42%

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Ends in 5 days
I
Illinois Senate Election: Turnout

Illinois Senate Election: Turnout

39%

4.25M-4.5M

$11k Vol.
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Ends in about 1 month
M
Massachusetts Senate Election: Turnout

Massachusetts Senate Election: Turnout

37%

2.65M-2.8M

$5k Vol.
$42k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month